Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 220816
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY
AND THURSDAY AS A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE
CAROLINAS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS EARLY
FRIDAY...WITH COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR BUILDING IN FOR THE
WEEKEND AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD. THIS HIGH
SHOULD FINALLY PUSH OFFSHORE MONDAY.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-230030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 66 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 9 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11 S 6 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 2
INVERSION 74/0900 2000 73/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 59 99 56
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4360 3920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 12
VENTILATION RATE 78480 47040
ADI EARLY 36 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR
ADI LATE 56 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 66 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 7 S 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 5 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.01 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
INVERSION 72/0900 2000 72/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%) 58 98 54
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4930 4790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 12
VENTILATION RATE 78880 57480
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 29 FAIR
ADI LATE 51 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-230030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 20 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 8 SW 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 10 S 4 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
INVERSION 73/0900 2000 73/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 62 100 55
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4250 4180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 9
VENTILATION RATE 68000 37620
ADI EARLY 30 FAIR 35 FAIR 19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-230030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 7 S 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 4 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
INVERSION 72/0900 2000 71/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%) 56 97 51
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5510 5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 SW 15
VENTILATION RATE 66120 80250
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 33 FAIR 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 37 FAIR 8 POOR 60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-230030-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
416 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 3 3 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 65 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 5 S 7 SW 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 4 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
INVERSION 72/0900 2000 72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 57 100 52
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5210 4970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 12
VENTILATION RATE 67730 59640
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 32 FAIR 23 FAIR
ADI LATE 38 FAIR 8 POOR 49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY THROUGH TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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