Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 011937
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms late tonight through Thursday
morning. Colder temperatures are expected for the weekend followed by a gradual
warming trend for the start of next week. Relative humidity values will fall to
near critical values each afternoon Thursday through Saturday.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-021145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...Near critical relative humidity each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday...

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        90           60           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
LAL                   5            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           63           36           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 15 G26    NW 10        N  4         NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G20    NW  8        LGT/VAR      W 12
Precip amount         0.15         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4            1
Inversion             None         None         2100         45/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        82           29           75           26
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5460                      6820
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     NW 30
Ventilation rate                   92820                     204600
ADI early             34 Fair      70 Good      6 Very poor  46 Gen good
ADI late              40 Fair      78 Good      1 Very poor  103 Very good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 58 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-021145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...Near critical relative humidity each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday...

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        90           50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
LAL                   5            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           64           35           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14 G23    NW 10        NW  3        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         NW  8        LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24
Precip amount         0.21         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4            1
Inversion             None         None         2100         44/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        73           24           76           26
DSI                                2                         4
Haines Index          3            3            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5730                      6970
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     NW 29
Ventilation rate                   97410                     202130
ADI early             40 Fair      69 Good      6 Very poor  39 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      77 Good      1 Very poor  103 Very good
Max LVORI early       3            1            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 60 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 35 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-021145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...Near critical relative humidity each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday...

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        90           50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
LAL                   5            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           64           37           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14 G25    NW 11        N  5         NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         N  9         NW  3        NW 11
Precip amount         0.21         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4            1
Inversion             None         None         2100         46/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        80           28           75           25
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      6720
Transport wnd (mph)                N 16                      NW 29
Ventilation rate                   84640                     194880
ADI early             32 Fair      63 Good      7 poor       32 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      66 Good      2 Very poor  99 Good
Max LVORI early       3            2            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 60 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-021145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...Near critical relative humidity each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday...

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   5            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           64           35           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14 G23    NW 11        NW  4        W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12         NW  9        NW  3        NW 14 G22
Precip amount         0.21         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       5
Inversion             None         None         2100         44/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        71           24           76           25
DSI                                2                         4
Haines Index          3            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5760                      6980
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     NW 28
Ventilation rate                   92160                     195440
ADI early             52 Gen good  64 Good      4 Very poor  35 Fair
ADI late              34 Fair      67 Good      2 Very poor  102 Very good
Max LVORI early       3            1            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 61 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 34 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 24 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-021145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
237 PM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...Near critical relative humidity each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday...

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        90           40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
LAL                   5            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           65           37           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 13 G22    N 11         N  4         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11         N  9         NW  3        NW 12
Precip amount         0.25         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       6            1
Inversion             None         None         2100         46/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        70           24           75           24
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5690                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      NW 28
Ventilation rate                   85350                     193200
ADI early             41 Gen good  57 Gen good  5 Very poor  32 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      66 Good      2 Very poor  97 Good
Max LVORI early       3            1            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 60 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 35 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with scattered showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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