Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 061054
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST.
THE STORM WILL EXIT NORTHEAST OF THE REGION BY THIS EVENING.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SUPPLY DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER WED
INTO THU. HOWEVER, A STRONG AND MAINLY DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A PIECE OF ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY THRU SATURDAY. THE CENTER
OF THE HIGH WILL BE OVERHEAD SUNDAY WITH TEMPS MODERATING BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

PERIODIC BROTAK PROFILE CONDITIONS TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-070300-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          67           45           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E 11 G25     W  8         NW  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  9 G20    NW  5        N  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       10           0
INVERSION             62/1300      1800         51/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           100          63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1400                      2620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     N  8
VENTILATION RATE      9800                      20960
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            7
MAX LVORI LATE        9            7            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ099-070300-
COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN,
AND LAKE WACCAMAW
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           45           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        W  6         N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         NW  3        N  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            0
INVERSION             59/1400      1800         51/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           100          65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1190                      2610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     N  7
VENTILATION RATE      8330                      18270
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  11 POOR      21 FAIR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      3 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            7
MAX LVORI LATE        9            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM
RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-070300-
ROBESON-BLADEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, AND BLADENBORO
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           43           59
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NW  6        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         NW  3        N  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            0
INVERSION             54/1400      1800         49/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           100          62
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   990                       2660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N  7
VENTILATION RATE      5940                      18620
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  9 POOR       24 FAIR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       3 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            7
MAX LVORI LATE        9            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ039-053>056-070300-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KINGSTREE, CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH,
SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, AND MURRELLS INLET
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          70           46           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E 10 G20     NW  7        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  9        NW  3        NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8            0
INVERSION             63/1300      1800         52/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        92           100          64
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1560                      2670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NE  5
VENTILATION RATE      10920                     13350
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      13 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              12 POOR      3 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            8            7
MAX LVORI LATE        6            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM
RH 63 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-070300-
FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, AND MULLINS
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           44           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NW  6        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8            0
INVERSION             57/1300      1800         50/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           100          63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1270                      2570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NE  5
VENTILATION RATE      7620                      12850
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      10 POOR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       2 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            8
MAX LVORI LATE        8            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-070300-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON
554 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          56           43           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NW  5        N  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      NE  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       8            0
INVERSION             53/1400      1800         49/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        88           100          61
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1030                      2590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NE  5
VENTILATION RATE      6180                      12950
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  8 POOR       21 FAIR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       2 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            7
MAX LVORI LATE        8            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM
RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

DCH


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