Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 261839
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPPING OUT OF ONTARIO WILL SINK SLOWLY
SOUTH OVER THE VIRGINIA APPALACHIANS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN MILD TO WARM TEMPERATURES WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...FOLLOWED
BY COOLER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH INLAND...MODERATE BY THE COAST.

NCZ105>110-271045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           81           67           82
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  4         E  3         SE  3        SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  3        E  5         LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.18         0.08         0.54
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          67           97           63
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4520                      5030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 13
VENTILATION RATE                   22600                     65390
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      12 POOR      10 POOR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            7            8
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          67           83           67           82
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.11         0.83
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         75/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          63           96           59
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5120                      4770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 13
VENTILATION RATE                   25600                     62010
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  12 POOR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            10           7            8
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-271045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           83           68           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  5         NE  4        SE  3        SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         E  5         SW  3        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.05         0.64
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         76/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          65           95           61
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4790                      5450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      SW 10
VENTILATION RATE                   14370                     54500
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      8 POOR       10 POOR      21 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  11 POOR      2 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-271045-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          68           85           68           83
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        NE  3        S  3         SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  3         E  4         S  3         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.05         0.65
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           94           57
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5160                      5180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  1                      SW 12
VENTILATION RATE                   5160                      62160
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  6 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  2 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            10           7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-271045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
239 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          67           84           67           82
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  4         S  3         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.19         0.49
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            2
INVERSION             1900         75/1000      1900         74/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           94           55
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5540                      4740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  2                     SW 12
VENTILATION RATE                   11080                     56880
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  11 POOR      8 POOR       12 POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  7 POOR       2 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            10           7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8



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