Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 201858
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated in the days ahead,
as an upper ridge builds from the west. The ridge will bring hot
and humid conditions through the weekend. Rain chances will
increase early next week, as a surface trough deepens inland.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-211100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           95           75           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  5        SW  7        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  8        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           46           90           49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6000                      5580
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   54000                     72540
ADI early             22 Fair      25 Fair      27 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  33 Fair      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           96           75           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  5        S  7         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  6        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         80/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           46           91           46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6320                      5830
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   50560                     75790
ADI early             16 Gen poor  26 Fair      30 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  39 Fair      4 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           97           75           95
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        S  7         SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           46           89           48
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6810                      6330
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 10
Ventilation rate                   47670                     63300
ADI early             23 Fair      20 Gen poor  27 Fair      30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  31 Fair      4 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           96           75           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  4        S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  5        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           45           90           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7150                      6640
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  5                     SW 10
Ventilation rate                   35750                     66400
ADI early             19 Gen poor  19 Gen poor  26 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  26 Fair      3 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            8            3            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
258 PM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           97           75           97
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW  5        SW  5        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  6        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2100         81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           43           87           43
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7520                      7000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   45120                     91000
ADI early             18 Gen poor  23 Fair      22 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  27 Fair      4 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            7            3            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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