Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 031941
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A COLD UPPER LOW WILL DIP ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SCATTERED GUSTY
SHOWERS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. DRYING AND WARMING WILL FOLLOW INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE

NCZ105>110-041145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           79           56           71
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        W  5         W  5         W  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        W  7         W  3         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.07         0.01         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            2
INVERSION             2100         66/0800      2200         63/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          48           88           45
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6260                      6710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 15
VENTILATION RATE                   75120                     100650
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      20 GEN POOR  32 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       44 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-041145-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...WHITEVILLE...
TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           77           55           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        W  4         W  4         W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  3        W  6         W  3         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.04         0.00         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            2
INVERSION             2100         64/0800      2200         61/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          47           86           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7340                      7050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 15
VENTILATION RATE                   88080                     105750
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  34 FAIR      34 FAIR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       57 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-041145-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           77           55           69
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        NW  5        W  5         W  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  3         W  7         W  3         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.02         0.00         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            2
INVERSION             2100         62/0800      2200         60/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        97           44           86           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7830                      7150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 15
VENTILATION RATE                   101790                    107250
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  43 GEN GOOD  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  65 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        8            2            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-041145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           78           55           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        W  6         W  6         W  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        W  8         W  5         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.05         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            1
INVERSION             2100         66/0800      2200         61/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        96           45           84           43
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6200                      7480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 20
VENTILATION RATE                   74400                     149600
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      24 FAIR      28 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              8 POOR       47 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  72 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-041145-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...
KINGSTREE
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           78           55           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        NW  5        W  5         W  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        W  8         W  5         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.03         0.00         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1
INVERSION             2100         64/0800      2200         60/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           43           83           43
DSI                                2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7140                      7510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 20
VENTILATION RATE                   92820                     150200
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      11 POOR      42 GEN GOOD  47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              8 POOR       64 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-041145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE
341 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           20           20           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            2            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           77           55           70
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        NW  5        W  5         NW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  4         W  7         W  5         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            2
INVERSION             2100         62/0600      2200         60/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           43           83           43
DSI                                3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7590                      7470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 15
VENTILATION RATE                   106260                    112050
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  50 GEN GOOD  38 FAIR
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  68 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

RGZ



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