Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 020921
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
STALL ACROSS GEORGIA TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL RETURN NORTH TUESDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING ONE DAY OF WARM TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY. AN ARCTIC
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY CHILLY
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-030130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          60           37           53
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  5         NE  7        NE  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         NE  8        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             53/1200      0400         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           80           63
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2670                      790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      E 15
VENTILATION RATE      32040                     11850
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  11 POOR      16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            6

REMARKS...MORNING DENSE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AROUND 10 AM. LOCATIONS
WITHIN 1 MILE OF THE BEACHES MAY REMAIN 5 DEGREES COOLER WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 15% HIGHER THAN FARTHER INLAND.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-030130-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          61           36           49
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  5         NE  6        E  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  8         NE  7        E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
INVERSION             52/1200      0400         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           83           65
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2800                      830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      E  7
VENTILATION RATE      36400                     5810
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  12 POOR      15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      12 POOR      11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            6

REMARKS...MORNING DENSE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 10 AM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-030130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          67           40           54
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  4         NE  8        NE 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         NE  9        E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6
INVERSION             53/1100      0400         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        55           86           66
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2680                      800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      E 16
VENTILATION RATE      32160                     12800
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            6

REMARKS...MORNING DENSE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AROUND 10 AM. LOCATIONS
WITHIN 1 MILE OF THE BEACHES MAY REMAIN 5 DEGREES COOLER WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY 15% HIGHER THAN FARTHER INLAND.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-030130-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          67           41           52
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  5         NE  8        E  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  7         NE  8        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6
INVERSION             53/1100      0400         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           88           69
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2870                      860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      E 14
VENTILATION RATE      34440                     12040
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            6

REMARKS...MORNING DENSE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 10 AM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-030130-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
421 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            50           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          63           37           47
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  5         NE  7        E  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  8         NE  8        E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
INVERSION             52/1100      0400         CONTINUED
MIN/MAX RH (%)        55           85           67
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2980                      820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      E  7
VENTILATION RATE      35760                     5740
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      12 POOR      13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            6

REMARKS...MORNING DENSE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 10 AM.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. MUCH COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
MAXIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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