Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 181941
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Canadian high pressure building into the Mid-Atlantic states
will bring several days of cool, dry weather to the Carolinas.
Temperatures should begin to warm up this weekend as the high moves
off the coast. A cold front will move through on Tuesday with much
cooler temperatures to follow.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-191145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           77           48           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        N  6         N  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         70/1100      1900         63/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          48           100          33
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4670                      3140
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  7                     N  5
Ventilation rate                   32690                     15700
ADI early             20 Gen poor  38 Fair      16 Gen poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  40 Fair      1 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-191145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           77           46           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         67/1100      1900         61/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           47           100          34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4330                      3160
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      N  5
Ventilation rate                   12990                     15800
ADI early             17 Gen poor  10 poor      14 Gen poor  7 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-191145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           76           45           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         65/1100      1900         60/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           45           99           34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3780                      3250
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  5
Ventilation rate                   11340                     16250
ADI early             20 Gen poor  10 poor      11 poor      9 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-191145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           77           48           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        N  6         N  3         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NE  6        LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         69/1100      1900         64/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           49           100          35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4380                      3020
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  9                     NE  5
Ventilation rate                   39420                     15100
ADI early             22 Fair      29 Fair      18 Gen poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  35 Fair      1 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            10
Max LVORI late        6            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-191145-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           77           47           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        NE  5        N  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         N  5         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         67/1100      1900         62/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           47           99           34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4190                      3120
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     NE  5
Ventilation rate                   25140                     15600
ADI early             20 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  16 Gen poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  26 Fair      1 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-191145-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
341 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           76           46           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         65/1100      1900         61/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           42           94           32
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3630                      3230
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      N  3
Ventilation rate                   10890                     9690
ADI early             22 Fair      4 Very poor  10 poor      9 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  15 Gen poor  1 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        5            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ


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