Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210909
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. THE HIGHEST
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A WEAK FRONT TODAY. AS LOW PRESSURE
DEPARTS WELL TO OUR NORTHEAST...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA LATE IN THE DAY AND THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE HIGH
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SUNDAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO HIGHER HUMIDITY
BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-220115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   5            4            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           58           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  6         NW  9        N 10 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        N 11 G20     N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             74/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           92           40
DSI                   2                         4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3390                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 12
VENTILATION RATE      44070                     62400
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      34 FAIR      53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR  52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   5            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          86           58           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         NW 10        N 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        N  9         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5
INVERSION             72/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           92           35
DSI                   2                         4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3830                      5130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      NW 10
VENTILATION RATE      45960                     51300
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  29 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           60           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        NW  8        N 11 G21
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        N 11 G20     N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1
INVERSION             73/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        49           93           42
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3720                      5150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  9
VENTILATION RATE      37200                     46350
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      18 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           60           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        NW  9        N 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11 G20     N 10         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1
INVERSION             72/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           88           37
DSI                   3                         4
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5040                      5130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW  9
VENTILATION RATE      70560                     46170
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  50 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  15 GEN POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
509 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           59           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         NW 10        N 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11 G20     N 10         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             71/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        42           85           33
DSI                   3                         4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4990                      5130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE      64870                     46170
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  34 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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