Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200833
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
433 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...SHIFTING WESTWARD
TOWARD THE COAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT WILL MAY GIVE WAY TO A COLD FRONT
SATURDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-210045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
433 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           72           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            3
INVERSION             79/1000      2100         80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        55           91           59
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4650                      4770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 12
VENTILATION RATE      37200                     57240
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      30 FAIR      24 FAIR
ADI LATE              33 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-210045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
433 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           72           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        SE  7        E  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  7         SE  3        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.23
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3
INVERSION             80/1100      2100         80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           95           64
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4930                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SE 13
VENTILATION RATE      59160                     68900
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      36 FAIR      28 FAIR
ADI LATE              37 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
433 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          87           72           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  3        LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3
INVERSION             77/1000      2100         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           96           58
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4950                      5770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE  9
VENTILATION RATE      39600                     51930
ADI EARLY             21 FAIR      20 GEN POOR  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-210045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
433 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           71           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        SE  5        E  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  4         LGT/VAR      E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.23
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            6
INVERSION             77/1000      2100         78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        60           99           61
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5190                      5960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SE 10
VENTILATION RATE      46710                     59600
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  24 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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