Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 240939
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TODAY WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING SHOWER CHANCES LATE
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY WEEK. A MORE ROBUST COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH CONTINUED RAIN CHANCES.
DRIER AND POTENTIALLY MUCH COOLER AIR WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD FOR
LATE IN THE WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

NCZ105>110-250145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...WILMINGTON...
MASONBORO...MYRTLE GROVE...OGDEN...CAROLINA BEACH...SEAGATE...
BOILING SPRING LAKES...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...OAK ISLAND...
LONG BEACH...SOUTHPORT...SUNSET BEACH
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          89           67           84
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    N  5         E  3         NE  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  5        E  3         NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             77/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        51           100          63
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3970                      4160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      E  3
VENTILATION RATE      23820                     12480
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      10 POOR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...BLADENBORO...
WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY...CHADBOURN...LAKE WACCAMAW
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          90           67           85
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    N  4         E  3         NE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             76/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        46           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4340                      4830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      E  2
VENTILATION RATE      26040                     9660
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      11 POOR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-250145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...RED HILL...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOCASTEE...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...LITTLE RIVER...
ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          88           67           85
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    N  5         E  3         NE  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        E  3         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             77/1000      1900         78/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        55           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4400                      4250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      SE  5
VENTILATION RATE      30800                     21250
ADI EARLY             41 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250145-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...MULLINS...KINGSTREE
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          89           67           87
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    N  4         E  3         NE  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             76/1000      1900         77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        50           100          56
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4490                      4880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      26940                     14640
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      11 POOR      5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...MCCOLL...HARTSVILLE...
DARLINGTON...NORTH HARTSVILLE...DILLON
539 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          91           67           87
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    N  3         E  3         NE  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             76/1000      1900         76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        45           100          56
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4550                      5180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      13650                     15540
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      9 POOR       9 POOR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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