Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 150723
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will retreat offshore today. A strong cold
front will sweep through the Carolinas on Monday accompanied by
showers. Much cooler and drier air will build in Monday night
and Tuesday as Canadian high pressure builds over the eastern
United States. Dry weather with seasonable temperatures should
persist through Saturday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-152330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           65           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  4        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  4        N  9 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip duration                                 3
Inversion             71/1000      1900         72/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        58           100          72
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3560                      3110
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     NW 12
Ventilation rate      24920                     37320
ADI early             13 Gen poor  17 Gen poor  17 Gen poor
ADI late              23 Fair      3 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in
the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
North winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-152330-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           63           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  4        N 10 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip duration                                 4
Inversion             70/1100      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           100          77
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3520                      2640
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     N 22
Ventilation rate      28160                     58080
ADI early             15 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  9 poor
ADI late              28 Fair      3 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-152330-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           60           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        S  6         NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  6        N 11 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.13
Precip duration                                 4
Inversion             70/1100      1900         70/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          80
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3790                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     N  30
Ventilation rate      45480                     73500
ADI early             19 Gen poor  30 Fair      6 Very poor
ADI late              44 Gen good  4 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-152330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           65           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         SW  4        N 10 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration                                 3
Inversion             71/1000      1900         72/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           72
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3730                      3070
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     NW 12
Ventilation rate      22380                     36840
ADI early             12 poor      15 Gen poor  17 Gen poor
ADI late              21 Fair      3 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-152330-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          84           63           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  4        N 11 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip duration                                 4
Inversion             71/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          78
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3750                      2480
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     N 23
Ventilation rate      26250                     57040
ADI early             17 Gen poor  18 Gen poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              29 Fair      3 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-152330-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
323 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          84           61           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        S  6         NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  5        N 12 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.14
Precip duration                                 5
Inversion             70/1100      1900         69/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          78
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4130                      2660
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     N  25
Ventilation rate      41300                     66500
ADI early             20 Gen poor  29 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              42 Gen good  4 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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