Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 282051
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEDGE DOWN THE COAST INTO SUNDAY. A DEVELOPING
COASTAL TROUGH WILL LINGER INTO MUCH OF SUNDAY AND THEN LIFT OUT
SUNDAY NIGHT. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING WITH RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL MODERATE TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS MONDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY. THE PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A DAY
OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. COLD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL
FOLLOW FOR LATE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE

NCZ105>110-011300-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           60           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          30           52           37           58
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10 G21    NE  8        SW  3        NW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  9 G20    SE  6        W  5         N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            5            6
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    52/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           69           100          51
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                250                       2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     N 13
VENTILATION RATE                   2250                      28730
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       10 POOR      5 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-011300-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           80           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          28           45           34           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NE  6        NW  3        W  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  9        NE  3        W  4         N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            9            7
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    52/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           78           100          51
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                250                       2730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     N 13
VENTILATION RATE                   2250                      35490
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  10 POOR      3 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-011300-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           70           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          33           49           37           63
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 11 G21    NE  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 11 G20    LGT/VAR      W  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    54/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           74           100          53
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                250                       2150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE                   3000                      19350
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            6            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-011300-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           90           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          30           42           34           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NE  7        NW  4        W  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 10        N  3         W  3         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            9            2
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    53/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        89           77           100          50
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                250                       2870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     N 10
VENTILATION RATE                   2500                      28700
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  12 POOR      4 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      4 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            6            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ039-011300-
WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINGSTREE
351 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           80           50           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          33           45           38           63
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE 10        NE  7        NW  4        NW  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE 10        N  3         W  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2
INVERSION             1800         CONTINUED    CONTINUED    54/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           79           100          55
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                250                       2410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     N  9
VENTILATION RATE                   2500                      21690
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            8            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        5            7            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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