Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
491
FNUS52 KILM 290751
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
351 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will linger offshore through Tuesday. A weak front
will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area late Tuesday
into Wednesday. High pressure will return Thursday with a second
front bringing more showers and thunderstorms late in the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-300000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
351 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 83 59 85
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G17 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 Lgt/Var SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0900 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 102000
ADI Early 68 Good 50 Gen Good 84 Good
ADI Late 77 Good 7 Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-300000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
351 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 84 59 85
Min/Max RH (%) 34 100 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 S 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79800 96000
ADI Early 71 Good 69 Good 83 Good
ADI Late 86 Good 7 Poor 104 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-300000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
351 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 83 59 84
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G17 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G18 Lgt/Var S 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0900 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000 96000
ADI Early 70 Good 51 Gen Good 72 Good
ADI Late 75 Good 6 Very Poor 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-300000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
351 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 83 58 84
Min/Max RH (%) 36 100 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79800 88200
ADI Early 74 Good 74 Good 75 Good
ADI Late 87 Good 7 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III