Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
544
FNUS52 KILM 010716
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea
breeze this afternoon. Dry high pressure will build in from the
west later today into tonight then move overhead Thursday. A
series of fronts will bring unsettled weather to the area this
weekend, followed by drier weather early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-012330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
316 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 83 60 86
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0800 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 58500
ADI Early 34 Fair 25 Fair 23 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-012330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 84 61 87
Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0800 2000 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 6700
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 53600
ADI Early 33 Fair 32 Fair 23 Fair
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-012330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
316 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 82 61 85
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 6400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 57600
ADI Early 30 Fair 26 Fair 24 Fair
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Fog 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-012330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
316 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 3 2 1
Max/Min Temp 85 61 88
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0800 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6800
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44800 61200
ADI Early 30 Fair 35 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III