Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS52 KILM 192017
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will bring temperatures well above normal this
week with possible record warmth Wednesday and Thursday. A cold
front will likely stall to our north on Friday. The Bermuda High will
expand over the region for the weekend. A cold front will approach
from the northwest Sunday night.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-201230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           79           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         62/0800      2300         66/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           99           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4750                      5030
Transport wnd (mph)                S 22                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   104500                    45270
ADI early             4 Very poor  61 Good      13 Gen poor  12 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  64 Good      2 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           9            5            9
Max LVORI late        10           2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           79           58           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         S  4         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1900         60/0800      2300         67/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4640                      5410
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      SW  7
Ventilation rate                   83520                     37870
ADI early             4 Very poor  53 Gen good  13 Gen poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  70 Good      5 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           10           4            9
Max LVORI late        10           1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-201230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           79           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         SE  3        SE  3        S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         62/0800      2300         68/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4800                      5280
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      SW  6
Ventilation rate                   81600                     31680
ADI early             4 Very poor  51 Gen good  12 poor      13 Gen poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  49 Gen good  3 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            10           4            9
Max LVORI late        10           2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201230-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           80           59           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         SE  3        SE  4        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         61/0800      2300         69/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           100          50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4850                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW  6
Ventilation rate                   67900                     34140
ADI early             4 Very poor  54 Gen good  12 poor      14 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  44 Gen good  4 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            10           4            9
Max LVORI late        10           1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
317 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           79           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         LGT/VAR      S  5         S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  3         S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         58/0800      2300         68/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           99           51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4890                      5740
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW  7
Ventilation rate                   73350                     40180
ADI early             3 Very poor  41 Gen good  12 poor      13 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  49 Gen good  6 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           10           4            9
Max LVORI late        10           1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.