Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 231902
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will lift north tonight. A complex storm system will
develop along this boundary and bring excessive rainfall and
potentially strong to severe thunderstorms through Tuesday morning.
Dry high pressure will return by the middle of the week.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-241115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100          60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          62           73           58           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  8         SE  7        E 10 G21     S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         SE 11        SE  8        SW  6
Precip amount         0.30         1.60         1.86         0.14
Precip duration       10           12           11           4
Inversion             2300         72/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        99           75           100          56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3790                      7230
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 28                     S  6
Ventilation rate                   106120                    43380
ADI early             45 Gen good  54 Gen good  53 Gen good  30 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       73 Good      9 poor       31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100          50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          60           72           58           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 10         E  7         NE  6        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  9         E  8         E  8         W  4
Precip amount         0.57         2.32         1.77         0.13
Precip duration       9            12           11           4
Inversion             2300         69/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           75           99           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3960                      6460
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     S  2
Ventilation rate                   87120                     12920
ADI early             47 Gen good  38 Fair      45 Gen good  26 Fair
ADI late              10 poor      61 Good      10 poor      25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            7
Max LVORI late        6            4            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-241115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100          50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          64           73           58           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  8         SE  8        E  6         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  8        SE  8        NW  8        SW  8
Precip amount         0.67         3.01         1.00         0.07
Precip duration       9            12           8            2
Inversion             2300         72/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           76           98           65
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3660                      5380
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 25                     W  5
Ventilation rate                   91500                     26900
ADI early             52 Gen good  61 Good      44 Gen good  19 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       65 Good      10 poor      17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            4            6            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-241115-
Marlboro-Dillon-Marion-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Dillon, Marion,
and Mullins
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100          50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          60           72           57           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11         E  8         NE  9        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 10         E  8         NW 10        W  6
Precip amount         0.98         2.30         1.13         0.10
Precip duration       12           12           11           3
Inversion             2300         69/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        98           75           95           64
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3490                      5220
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 18                     SW  2
Ventilation rate                   62820                     10440
ADI early             44 Gen good  41 Gen good  32 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  49 Gen good  23 Fair      12 poor
Max LVORI early       5            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            4            5            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ023-032-241115-
Darlington-Florence-
Including the cities of Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville,
and Florence
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100          40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          61           71           57           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11         E  8         N  7         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 10         E  8         N  9         NW  7
Precip amount         1.13         2.19         0.78         0.07
Precip duration       12           12           9            2
Inversion             2300         68/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Excellent                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        99           71           95           66
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3250                      4760
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     W  2
Ventilation rate                   52000                     9520
ADI early             43 Gen good  22 Fair      18 Gen poor  10 poor
ADI late              10 poor      47 Gen good  14 Gen poor  10 poor
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            5            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ039-241115-
Williamsburg-
Including the city of Kingstree
302 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          65           72           58           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  9        SE  7        N  4         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  8        E  6         NW  6        W  8
Precip amount         0.97         2.44         0.54         0.05
Precip duration       11           12           7            2
Inversion             2300         70/1100      None         None
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          73           99           64
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3420                      4530
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 17                     NW  6
Ventilation rate                   58140                     27180
ADI early             58 Gen good  35 Fair      11 poor      20 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       46 Gen good  8 poor       20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            5            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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