Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 160901
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH TODAY. A
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE CAROLINAS LATE WEDNESDAY. COOLER
AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW ON THURSDAY, BUT LOW PRESSURE
MOVING UP FROM THE GULF COAST WILL DRAG A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE AREA
ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER
SYSTEM BRINGS UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR SUNDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH.

NCZ105>110-170115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           47           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        NE  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    64/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           100          63
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   580                       2960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      3480                      44400
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       3 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              7 POOR       1 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-170115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           47           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    0
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    61/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        64           100          63
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   900                       2830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SW 16
VENTILATION RATE      4500                      45280
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       2 VERY POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  1 VERY POOR  42 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-170115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           50           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        E  4         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0
INVERSION             62/1300      1800         65/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        65           100          61
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1590                      2850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW 14
VENTILATION RATE      11130                     39900
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       4 VERY POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-170115-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          66           50           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        E  4         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0
INVERSION             63/1300      1800         64/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        64           100          59
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1900                      2980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 17
VENTILATION RATE      11400                     50660
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       4 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-170115-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
401 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            20           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           47           70
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        E  3         S  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    0
INVERSION             58/1300      1800         62/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        64           100          60
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1460                      2820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      8760                      42300
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       3 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       2 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

RGZ



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