Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 281913
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will enter the area and stall through early next
week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will still be around
during the latter part of the week as weak upper level
disturbances continue to pass overhead.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-291115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Memorial Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           40           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          71           93           70           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  6         SW  6        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         W  8         SW  4        W  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.02         0.07         0.11
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           44           97           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7150                      6840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W 12
Ventilation rate                   100100                    82080
ADI early             34 Fair      78 Good      59 Gen good  17 Gen poor
ADI late              7 poor       77 Good      3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            7
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-291115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Memorial Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           50           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           93           70           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        W  6         SW  4        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  9         SW  3        W  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.04         0.09         0.11
Precip duration       2            1            2            2
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         78/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           43           98           51
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7500                      7170
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 15
Ventilation rate                   97500                     107550
ADI early             43 Gen good  77 Good      57 Gen good  14 Gen poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  77 Good      2 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            9            3            8
Max LVORI late        9            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-291115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
313 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Memorial Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           40           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          73           93           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         W  7         SW  6        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         SW  8        SW  4        W  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.03         0.08
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        92           44           97           51
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            5            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7370                      7400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   95810                     103600
ADI early             37 Fair      62 Good      51 Gen good  8 poor
ADI late              7 poor       62 Good      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-291115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                      Tonight      Memorial Day Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           40           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          68           93           70           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         W  7         SW  4        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  8         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip amount         0.04         0.03         0.05         0.06
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Inversion             2000         78/0900      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          42           98           48
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7780                      7600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   101140                    136800
ADI early             44 Gen good  65 Good      55 Gen good  10 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  66 Good      2 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       4            9            3            7
Max LVORI late        9            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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