Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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983
FNUS52 KILM 242003
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in tonight and Saturday. A dry cold frontal
passage will occur Saturday night followed by modified
Canadian high pressure Sunday through the early to mid-week
period of next week. Temperatures up to this point in time will
run near the climo norms for this time of the year. A milder
trend will occur late next week as high pressure moves offshore
and low pressure approaches from the west.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-251215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           66           43           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         W  4         W  6         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  6        N  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         42/0800      1700         47/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           36           87           38
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2140                      2470
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      N  9
Ventilation rate                   29960                     22230
ADI early             2 Very poor  22 Fair      4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  34 Fair      4 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            5            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-251215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           67           42           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         W  3         W  5         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        NW  5        N  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         38/0800      1700         46/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           39           88           36
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2220                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      N 10
Ventilation rate                   33300                     25500
ADI early             1 Very poor  25 Fair      4 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      4 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            10           6            5
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 39 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-251215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           67           41           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      W  4         W  5         N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        N  6         N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         39/0800      1700         44/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           40           92           33
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2260                      2590
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      N 12
Ventilation rate                   36160                     31080
ADI early             2 Very poor  28 Fair      5 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  43 Gen good  5 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-251215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           67           44           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         W  3         W  6         NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5        N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         42/0800      1700         48/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           38           89           38
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2220                      2550
Transport wnd (mph)                W 15                      N 10
Ventilation rate                   33300                     25500
ADI early             2 Very poor  24 Fair      4 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  37 Fair      4 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-251215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           68           43           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         W  3         W  5         NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        NW  5        NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         40/0800      1700         47/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           38           90           35
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2300                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      NE 10
Ventilation rate                   36800                     26300
ADI early             2 Very poor  28 Fair      5 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  44 Gen good  3 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-251215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
303 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           68           41           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      W  4         W  5         N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        N  5         NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         39/0800      1700         45/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           39           91           32
DSI                                1                         0
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2350                      2690
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     N 10
Ventilation rate                   37600                     26900
ADI early             1 Very poor  29 Fair      5 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  44 Gen good  5 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            8            5            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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