Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 240754
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain warm and dry weather today.
Hurricane Maria is expected to move northward a couple of
hundred miles east of Cape Fear Monday through Wednesday.
Impacts are expected to be limited to breezy winds and a small
chance of rain near the coast. A cold front is expected to reach
the area Friday, bringing cooler weather for the upcoming weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           64           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  7        N 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  8        N 12 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             73/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5790                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 22                     NE 26
Ventilation rate      127380                    99580
ADI early             65 Good      55 Gen good  56 Gen good
ADI late              86 Good      5 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-250000-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           64           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  5        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        NE  5        N 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             73/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           96           53
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5730                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 21                     NE 25
Ventilation rate      120330                    95750
ADI early             75 Good      55 Gen good  53 Gen good
ADI late              87 Good      4 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-250000-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          88           63           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  5        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  6        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             74/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           95           50
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5650                      4530
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 22                     NE 23
Ventilation rate      124300                    104190
ADI early             58 Gen good  58 Gen good  54 Gen good
ADI late              87 Good      5 Very poor  65 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-250000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           65           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  6        N 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  7        N 11 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             73/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           94           54
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5860                      3740
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 20                     NE 23
Ventilation rate      117200                    86020
ADI early             60 Gen good  51 Gen good  50 Gen good
ADI late              79 Good      6 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           64           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  5        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  5        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             73/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           96           50
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5840                      4420
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 21                     NE 21
Ventilation rate      122640                    92820
ADI early             63 Good      55 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              81 Good      3 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
354 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          88           63           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  5        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  5        NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             74/1000      1900         71/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        46           93           46
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6050                      5220
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 21                     NE 21
Ventilation rate      127050                    109620
ADI early             69 Good      56 Gen good  53 Gen good
ADI late              84 Good      3 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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