Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190756
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure across the Southeast will move out into the Atlantic
Saturday night and remain offshore Sunday. Dry conditions will
continue along with a gradual warming trend. Rain chances could
return Tuesday with the next cold front. Dry high pressure will
build in from the west next Wednesday and Thursday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-200000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           28           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         SW  3        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             42/1000      1700         45/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           84           26
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2390                      2020
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      31070                     26260
ADI early             27 Fair      3 Very poor  12 poor
ADI late              36 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            4            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           26           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  3        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             38/1000      1700         45/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        29           92           27
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2320                      2190
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     W 15
Ventilation rate      27840                     32850
ADI early             20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              31 Fair      2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-200000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           29           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  3        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             42/1000      1700         45/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           76           26
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2080                      2340
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      SW 14
Ventilation rate      27040                     32760
ADI early             20 Gen poor  4 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      3 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            3            3
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-200000-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           26           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  3        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             39/1000      1700         45/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        25           83           26
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2400                      2590
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      W 14
Ventilation rate      31200                     36260
ADI early             16 Gen poor  4 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              35 Fair      3 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-200000-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
256 AM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           25           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             36/1000      1700         45/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           94           29
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2450                      2660
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     W 12
Ventilation rate      24500                     31920
ADI early             9 poor       3 Very poor  17 Gen poor
ADI late              28 Fair      3 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light and variable wind.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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