Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 291915
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak surface high pressure and a building upper level ridge
will be in control through Thursday. An upper trough
and cold front will move through on Friday and bring showers
and storms. The weekend looks rain-free and seasonable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-301115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            5
Min/Max Temp          50           70           56           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         NE  6        E  9         S 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        E  9         SE 10        S 13 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.42
Precip duration                                 1            9
Inversion             2000         59/1000      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        91           48           95           63
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4690                      5190
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     S 23
Ventilation rate                   65660                     119370
ADI early             26 Fair      30 Fair      52 Gen good  36 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  54 Gen good  20 Gen poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-301115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            5
Min/Max Temp          51           71           57           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         NE  6        SE  9        S 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         E  8         SE 10        S 13 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.41
Precip duration                                 1            9
Inversion             2000         58/1000      2000         66/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        88           47           100          61
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5080                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     SW 23
Ventilation rate                   71120                     127880
ADI early             23 Fair      35 Fair      47 Gen good  43 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  55 Gen good  17 Gen poor  73 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-301115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            5
Min/Max Temp          52           71           57           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        E  7         SE 11        S 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E 10         SE 10        SW 14 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.38
Precip duration                                 2            7
Inversion             2000         58/1000      2000         63/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        87           47           100          58
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4960                      5430
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SW 24
Ventilation rate                   79360                     130320
ADI early             28 Fair      34 Fair      54 Gen good  43 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  52 Gen good  18 Gen poor  76 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-301115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            4            5
Min/Max Temp          53           72           60           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  7         NE  8        SE 11        S 11 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         E 11         SE 11        SW 14 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.34
Precip duration                                 2            7
Inversion             2000         63/1000      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           100          59
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5340                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 18                     SW 25
Ventilation rate                   96120                     146250
ADI early             23 Fair      34 Fair      53 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  55 Gen good  18 Gen poor  81 Good
Max LVORI early       5            7            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-301115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            4            5
Min/Max Temp          53           73           59           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  7         SE 11        S 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E 10         SE 10        SW 14 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.26
Precip duration                                 2            7
Inversion             2000         62/1000      2000         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5610                      6090
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 17                     SW 28
Ventilation rate                   95370                     170520
ADI early             25 Fair      38 Fair      53 Gen good  57 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  55 Gen good  17 Gen poor  91 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-301115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
315 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           100
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            4            5
Min/Max Temp          53           72           59           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  7         SE 11        S 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E  9         SE 10        SW 14 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.25
Precip duration                                 4            8
Inversion             2000         60/1000      2000         64/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        91           48           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5370                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SW 28
Ventilation rate                   85920                     163800
ADI early             25 Fair      34 Fair      53 Gen good  51 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  52 Gen good  16 Gen poor  90 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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