Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will hold into Tuesday. A cold front will move through
Wednesday bringing a chance of rain or snow. Arctic air will build
into the area Wednesday night and Thursday. Temperatures will begin
to climb again by Friday. The next chance of rain will come on Monday
ahead of a cold front.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-161315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         None         Snow/rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          24           51           31           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         N  3         LGT/VAR      W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         NW  3        LGT/VAR      NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1700         40/1000      1700         46/1200
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        89           35           84           53
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1810                      2790
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  7                     N  9
Ventilation rate                   12670                     25110
ADI early             4 Very poor  5 Very poor  2 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of snow.
Lows around 20. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-161315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Snow/rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          23           50           32           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  3         LGT/VAR      NW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1700         38/1000      1700         42/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        81           34           85           54
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2130                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     N 14
Ventilation rate                   12780                     36820
ADI early             3 Very poor  5 Very poor  1 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  12 poor      1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 19. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-161315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          24           52           34           47
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         N  3         LGT/VAR      W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         NW  3        LGT/VAR      NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1700         40/1000      1700         45/1100
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        78           35           83           52
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1970                      2520
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     N  9
Ventilation rate                   11820                     22680
ADI early             4 Very poor  6 Very poor  1 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  12 poor      1 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 75 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-161315-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Snow/rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          23           52           33           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1700         39/1000      1700         42/1200
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        76           34           86           53
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2310                      2610
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      N 10
Ventilation rate                   16170                     26100
ADI early             3 Very poor  5 Very poor  1 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  22 Fair      1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-161315-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
406 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Snow/rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          22           51           31           40
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  3        LGT/VAR      NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1700         38/1000      1700         38/1200
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        74           34           88           49
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2500                      2850
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      N 16
Ventilation rate                   20000                     45600
ADI early             2 Very poor  6 Very poor  2 Very poor  12 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 19. Maximum RH 65 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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