Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 200830
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO THE AREA TODAY.
STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION WILL BRING PERIODS OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY. A DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED BEGINNING TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-210030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          72           53           70
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       1                         6
INVERSION             51/0800      1700         57/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           100          74
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1940                      1680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 10
VENTILATION RATE      27160                     16800
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      6 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            10           6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND
70. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           53           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  5        SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.27
PRECIP DURATION       3                         6
INVERSION             50/0800      1700         57/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           100          70
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2180                      1920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 13
VENTILATION RATE      32700                     24960
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  6 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            10           5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-210030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          74           54           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  4         SW  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.41
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            6
INVERSION             54/0800      1700         59/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        61           100          76
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2170                      1910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      32550                     28650
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-210030-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           0            90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          74           55           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.52
PRECIP DURATION       2                         6
INVERSION             54/0800      1700         59/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        59           100          73
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2210                      1950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 17
VENTILATION RATE      37570                     33150
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              35 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-210030-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
330 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           0            90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
LAL                   1            1            2
MIN/MAX TEMP          73           54           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  5        S  3         LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.41
PRECIP DURATION       2                         6
INVERSION             51/0800      1700         58/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        61           100          71
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2190                      1930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 16
VENTILATION RATE      37230                     30880
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              36 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15



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