Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 190825
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in behind exiting low through today.
This high extending down the east coast from Canada will shift
farther off the coast through mid week. Temperatures will remain
unseasonably warm through much of the week. Chance of showers
will increase late Friday into Saturday ahead of an approaching
cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-200030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           47           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NW  3        N  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             58/0900      1900         62/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        40           93           34
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4490                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     NE  7
Ventilation rate      58370                     28000
ADI early             38 Fair      3 Very poor  35 Fair
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           47           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        N  3         NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             56/0900      1900         62/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        40           92           33
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4440                      4070
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     NE  5
Ventilation rate      57720                     20350
ADI early             52 Gen good  3 Very poor  38 Fair
ADI late              53 Gen good  2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-200030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          70           47           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NW  4        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        NW  3        E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/0900      1900         63/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        44           93           38
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4790                      4050
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     NE  7
Ventilation rate      71850                     28350
ADI early             52 Gen good  4 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              63 Good      2 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           46           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NW  4        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        N  3         E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             54/0900      1900         61/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        41           93           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5210                      3950
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     NE  3
Ventilation rate      78150                     11850
ADI early             49 Gen good  3 Very poor  34 Fair
ADI late              62 Good      2 Very poor  29 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
325 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Washingtons Birthday

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           47           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NW  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        N  3         E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             56/0900      1900         62/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        40           93           36
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5250                      3960
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     NE  6
Ventilation rate      78750                     23760
ADI early             40 Fair      3 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              67 Good      2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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