Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS52 KILM 260825
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Drier weather will work into the area behind a cold front today.
The front will dissipate to our south on Thursday. Mainly isolated
showers and thunderstorms will become numerous Friday into Saturday
ahead of an unseasonably strong cold front. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible later Friday and Friday night. Much
drier air is expected in the wake of this system early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-270030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          88           70           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  5         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E  3         SE  6
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             79/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           95           52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5990                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   E 12                      S 10
Ventilation rate      71880                     60000
ADI early             37 Fair      31 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              48 Gen good  2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-270030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          89           69           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             78/0900      2000         76/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        51           98           50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6420                      6460
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      51360                     64600
ADI early             38 Fair      24 Fair      27 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            10
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-270030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          88           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.11         0.02         0.02
Precip duration       5            1            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        62           97           57
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4790                      5760
Transport wnd (mph)   E 10                      S  8
Ventilation rate      47900                     46080
ADI early             24 Fair      30 Fair      15 Gen poor
ADI late              39 Fair      2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            8
Max LVORI late        3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-270030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           70           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.16         0.05         0.02
Precip duration       5            1            2
Inversion             79/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5190                      6130
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8                      SW  9
Ventilation rate      41520                     55170
ADI early             27 Fair      29 Fair      16 Gen poor
ADI late              37 Fair      2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-270030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
425 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          90           70           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         76/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           98           50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6020                      6180
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      48160                     61800
ADI early             29 Fair      26 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              41 Gen good  2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.