Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 300808
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
408 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL FORM INLAND LATER TODAY AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE
REMAINS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT AND THEN STALL FRIDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DISSIPATING
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-310015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
408 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           74           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         SE  5        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       0            1            2
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        49           100          51
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4690                      4660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     SW  7
VENTILATION RATE      14070                     32620
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      12 POOR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      4 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-310015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
408 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          95           72           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        S  3         N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SW  4        NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         77/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        44           97           41
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5520                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW  3
VENTILATION RATE      16560                     15600
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       10 POOR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              15 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-310015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
408 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          95           73           91
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        S  6         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  4         SW  5        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
INVERSION             80/0900      2000         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           97           50
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5010                      4520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SW  6
VENTILATION RATE      15030                     27120
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      13 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-310015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
408 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          96           72           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        LGT/VAR      N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      W  4         NE  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           96           39
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5960                      5280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     N  3
VENTILATION RATE      17880                     15840
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       12 POOR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              17 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27



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