Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and drier high pressure will spread into the area tonight
behind exiting cold front and will persist through Monday. Shower
chances will increase Monday night and early Tuesday as a warm front
lifts north across the area. Much warmer temperatures will follow the
front Tuesday and Wednesday with showers increasing ahead of next
cold front late Wed into Thursday. Temperatures will drop below
normal Friday as a cooler and drier air mass builds over the area.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-261245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          40           59           35           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 13 G23     NW  7        LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8 G20    NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         1900         53/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        71           23           87           40
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4280                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     S 18
Ventilation rate                   38520                     108000
ADI early             19 Gen poor  45 Gen good  2 Very poor  61 Good
ADI late              17 Gen poor  45 Gen good  1 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       3            2            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            6            1

Remarks...Low RH values on Sunday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-261245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           60           36           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 13 G22     NW  6        LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         1900         50/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        61           22           83           36
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4390                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S 17
Ventilation rate                   35120                     100300
ADI early             25 Fair      48 Gen good  1 Very poor  51 Gen good
ADI late              16 Gen poor  43 Gen good  1 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            1

Remarks...Low RH values on Sunday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-261245-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          40           60           37           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 13 G22     N  7         LGT/VAR      E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        NW  4        LGT/VAR      SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         1900         54/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        60           23           86           42
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4100                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     S 17
Ventilation rate                   36900                     94520
ADI early             27 Fair      41 Gen good  2 Very poor  63 Good
ADI late              11 poor      42 Gen good  1 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       2            2            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            1

Remarks...Low RH values on Sunday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-261245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           60           36           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 13 G23     N  5         LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        W  4         LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         1900         49/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        62           22           80           35
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4370                      5820
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S 16
Ventilation rate                   34960                     93120
ADI early             25 Fair      40 Fair      1 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen poor  41 Gen good  1 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            2            4            1

Remarks...Low RH values on Sunday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-261245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
340 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           61           37           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 12 G22     N  6         LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        NW  4        LGT/VAR      SE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         1900         52/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        61           22           84           38
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4290                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S 16
Ventilation rate                   34320                     90240
ADI early             29 Fair      40 Fair      1 Very poor  55 Gen good
ADI late              9 poor       41 Gen good  1 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            1

Remarks...Low RH values on Sunday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 25 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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