Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 190900
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
400 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND DOWN INTO THE AREA TODAY...CREATING ONE
LAST NICE DAY. THIS HIGH WILL WEDGE DOWN THE COAST DURING THE
WEEKEND...WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES NEARBY SATURDAY BRINGING RAIN
AND COOL TEMPERATURES. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING MORE
CLOUDS AND RAIN ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE REMAINING TO THE WEST WILL DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON WEDNESDAY. COLD AND DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR CHRISTMAS DAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-200100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
400 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          56           33           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         N  3         NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         NE  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23
PRECIP DURATION                                 11
INVERSION             44/0900      1900         41/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        33           82           60
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3290                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      23030                     26000
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
400 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          55           34           49
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         LGT/VAR      NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         NE  3        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21
PRECIP DURATION                                 10
INVERSION             42/0900      1900         38/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        33           81           61
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3380                      2560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      20280                     20480
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
400 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          58           36           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         NE  3        NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  5        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                    0            11
INVERSION             46/0900      1900         41/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        33           92           66
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3390                      2350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      16950                     23500
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
400 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          59           35           50
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         NE  3        NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  5        NE  4        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23
PRECIP DURATION                    0            10
INVERSION             43/0900      1900         39/0600
MIN/MAX RH (%)        31           85           66
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3490                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      20940                     21600
ADI EARLY             30 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




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