Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 220750
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and drier air builds in today as high pressure builds in
from the north. As this high moves more offshore over the weekend a
warmup will ensue. Minor rain chances are expected Sunday as a weak
upper disturbance passes well to our north.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105-106-230000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Including the cities of Burgaw and Surf City
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           32           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 12 G22     NE  7        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 13 G22     NE  6        NE  8
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             55/0600      2000         37/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        33           65           26
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5480                      5040
Transport wnd (mph)   N 21                      NE  7
Ventilation rate      115080                    35280
ADI early             59 Gen good  39 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              69 Good      4 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ107>110-230000-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden,
Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte,
Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           33           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 12 G24     NE 10        NE 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 14 G24     NE  9        NE  9
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0
Inversion             57/0600      2000         39/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        37           64           28
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5520                      4950
Transport wnd (mph)   N 18                      E  9
Ventilation rate      99360                     44550
ADI early             58 Gen good  36 Fair      43 Gen good
ADI late              64 Good      7 poor       43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           33           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 12 G21     NE  8        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 14 G21     NE  6        NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/0600      2000         38/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        33           59           24
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5570                      5080
Transport wnd (mph)   N 20                      E  8
Ventilation rate      111400                    40640
ADI early             57 Gen good  39 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              66 Good      5 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            3
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-230000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           35           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G22     NE 10 G20    NE 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 13 G22     NE  9 G20    NE 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             58/0600      2000         42/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        37           60           26
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5100                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17                      E  9
Ventilation rate      86700                     45900
ADI early             57 Gen good  35 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI late              62 Good      8 poor       45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            3
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-230000-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           35           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G22     NE  9        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 13 G22    NE  7        E  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             59/0600      2000         41/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        34           55           24
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5040                      5150
Transport wnd (mph)   N 18                      E  8
Ventilation rate      90720                     41200
ADI early             60 Gen good  35 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              65 Good      7 poor       48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-230000-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
350 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           35           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 12 G21     NE  8        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 13 G22     NE  7        E  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             57/0600      2000         39/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        30           55           24
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5260                      5190
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17                      E  8
Ventilation rate      89420                     41520
ADI early             57 Gen good  42 Gen good  42 Gen good
ADI late              63 Good      6 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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