Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 211315
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions will prevail today through the weekend
with only isolated rain chances. Storms will increase next week
as a series of weak fronts approach the coast, with near normal
temperatures for late July.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-220515-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          95           75           95
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  8 G21    SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8 G22    SW  6        SW 10 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        46           95           51
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   8060                      6540
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      SW 16
Ventilation rate      56420                     104640
ADI early             28 Fair      42 Gen good  43 Gen good
ADI late              40 Fair      4 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220515-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          96           74           95
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        S  7         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  6        SW  9 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             80/0900      2100         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        43           96           47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   9020                      7700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      54120                     115500
ADI early             26 Fair      32 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      6 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-220515-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          94           75           95
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        S  7 G21     SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7 G21    SW  6        SW 10 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           95           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7960                      8170
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     SW 10
Ventilation rate      55720                     81700
ADI early             21 Fair      38 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              36 Fair      4 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220515-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          95           75           96
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        45           96           47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7990                      8030
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  3                     SW 10
Ventilation rate      23970                     80300
ADI early             20 Gen poor  22 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      3 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220515-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
915 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          96           75           97
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        SW  5        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  7        SW  9 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             81/0900      2100         82/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        41           92           44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   9320                      8660
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      55920                     112580
ADI early             23 Fair      24 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      5 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            3            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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