Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 160910
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy, with record warmth in many locations today, ahead of an
approaching cold front. The front will drop south this evening,
then linger nearby Saturday, bringing cool and damp conditions.
Another front will bring a chance of rain Saturday night and
Sunday morning, but temperatures will warm into the 60s Sunday
afternoon. Upper ridging from the Bahamas early next week, will
help bring temperatures well above normal for February.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

SCZ054>056-058-059-170115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           51           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W 10         W  6         E  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13        NE  6        E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.03
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             63/0800      None         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           90           68
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4640                      2610
Transport wnd (mph)   W 26                      E 18
Ventilation rate      120640                    46980
ADI early             81 Good      10 poor      40 Fair
ADI late              89 Good      24 Fair      26 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            4
Max LVORI late        1            3            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-170115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           50
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           47           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14 G21    NW  8        NE  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 15 G21    NE  8        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.05
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             66/0800      None         None
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        47           87           63
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4980                      2820
Transport wnd (mph)   W 31                      NE 17
Ventilation rate      154380                    47940
ADI early             85 Good      17 Gen poor  38 Fair
ADI late              94 Good      26 Fair      22 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            3            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-170115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           48           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 10        W  6         NE  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12        NE  7        NE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.04
Precip duration                    2            2
Inversion             63/0800      None         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           81           59
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4420                      2870
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      NE 21
Ventilation rate      123760                    60270
ADI early             75 Good      14 Gen poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              89 Good      17 Gen poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-170115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           50
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           46           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 12 G22    NW  6        NE  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 14 G22    NE  7        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.04
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             66/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           82           63
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5130                      2680
Transport wnd (mph)   W 30                      NE 20
Ventilation rate      153900                    53600
ADI early             83 Good      16 Gen poor  43 Gen good
ADI late              96 Good      25 Fair      25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            3
Max LVORI late        1            3            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-170115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
410 AM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           51           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 12 G20    W  6         E  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G21    NE  6        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             65/0900      None         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        46           86           65
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4910                      2960
Transport wnd (mph)   W 29                      NE 17
Ventilation rate      142390                    50320
ADI early             86 Good      16 Gen poor  38 Fair
ADI late              92 Good      27 Fair      22 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            3            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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