Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 181942
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue across the area today.
Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage Saturday
ahead of a cold front. This front will stall in close proximity
during the weekend before dissipating Monday. High pressure
will build across the area Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold
front will approach from the northwest Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-191145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           50           50           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          78           91           74           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  4        SW  5        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  7        SW  4        S  4
Precip amount         0.14         0.23         0.07         0.06
Precip duration       1            2            2            2
Inversion             2000         80/0800      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           64           100          54
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4680                      6460
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SE  5
Ventilation rate                   65520                     32300
ADI early             31 Fair      34 Fair      31 Fair      10 poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  38 Fair      3 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          76           92           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.11         0.25         0.02         0.03
Precip duration       1            2            1            1
Inversion             2000         78/0800      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           54           100          46
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6250                      7230
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SE  5
Ventilation rate                   62500                     36150
ADI early             39 Fair      22 Fair      22 Fair      8 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  33 Fair      2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            10
Max LVORI late        8            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-191145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           50           50           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          77           93           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  3        S  6         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  7        SW  4        S  4
Precip amount         0.14         0.25         0.03         0.08
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Inversion             2000         80/0800      2000         80/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           59           100          54
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5510                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SE  3
Ventilation rate                   55100                     19200
ADI early             34 Fair      20 Gen poor  23 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  33 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
342 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          76           93           73           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  3
Precip amount         0.08         0.21         0.03         0.04
Precip duration       1            2            0            1
Inversion             2000         78/0800      2000         79/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           49           100          45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6680                      7620
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      SE  6
Ventilation rate                   46760                     45720
ADI early             40 Fair      21 Fair      18 Gen poor  17 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  26 Fair      2 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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