Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230956
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front dropping south through North Carolina will remain
just north of the local area today as high pressure holds it`s
ground across the area. over the area. The front will lift back
north tonight and Sat leaving Bermuda High pressure to continue
to bring unseasonable warm weather across the region through the
upcoming weekend. A cold front will finally move across the region
early next week bringing with it a good chance for showers.
In it`s wake, high pressure from the west will ridge across
the area, supplying cooler temps but still remaining slightly
above normal.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-240200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  3        SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.02
Precip duration                    0            1
Inversion             67/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        57           99           55
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5620                      5870
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      73060                     93920
ADI early             30 Fair      6 Very poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              46 Gen good  3 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-240200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  3         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             65/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          53
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5500                      5750
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      71500                     92000
ADI early             34 Fair      6 Very poor  47 Gen good
ADI late              49 Gen good  2 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-240200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  4         SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             64/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           100          52
DSI                   3                         4
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5480                      5670
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      71240                     102060
ADI early             34 Fair      8 poor       56 Gen good
ADI late              54 Gen good  4 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-240200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  3         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             66/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        57           99           54
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5480                      5750
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      SW 15
Ventilation rate      65760                     86250
ADI early             33 Fair      7 poor       42 Gen good
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  3         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             65/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           99           50
DSI                   3                         4
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5540                      5550
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 15
Ventilation rate      66480                     83250
ADI early             35 Fair      7 poor       50 Gen good
ADI late              48 Gen good  2 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
456 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  4         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 1
Inversion             65/0900      1800         65/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        51           99           51
DSI                   3                         4
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5530                      5630
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      71890                     90080
ADI early             36 Fair      8 poor       58 Gen good
ADI late              53 Gen good  3 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch


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