Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 100935
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Bright sunshine will finally return today and Monday with dry
weather expected this week. Sunshine will bring a modest
temperature rise and we will be close to normal by Tuesday.
Another strong cold front will move across the area late Tuesday
with Arctic air returning Tuesday night through Wednesday night.
Temperatures will moderate late week. A cold front may bring a
brief cool down to start the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-110145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           29           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  8        W  3         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         W  5         W  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             36/0900      1800         44/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        38           82           40
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2960                      2340
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     NW  3
Ventilation rate      38480                     7020
ADI early             35 Fair      2 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              39 Fair      2 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-110145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           27           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         SW  3        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         SW  4        SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             33/0900      1800         41/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           88           41
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2940                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     NW  2
Ventilation rate      35280                     4600
ADI early             33 Fair      2 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              36 Fair      2 Very poor  12 poor
Max LVORI early       4            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-110145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           29           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        W  3         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         W  5         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             37/0900      1800         44/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        37           79           42
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2940                      2270
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NW  5
Ventilation rate      29400                     11350
ADI early             31 Fair      2 Very poor  15 Gen poor
ADI late              32 Fair      2 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-110145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           28           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         SW  4        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         SW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             33/0900      1800         40/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           87           41
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2930                      2310
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      SW  2
Ventilation rate      26370                     4620
ADI early             30 Fair      3 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              32 Fair      2 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            3            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-110145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
435 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           29           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  3        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             35/0900      1800         42/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        37           85           43
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2930                      2310
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     W  2
Ventilation rate      26370                     4620
ADI early             29 Fair      2 Very poor  13 Gen poor
ADI late              30 Fair      2 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, colder. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27


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