Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 230937
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY INTO THURSDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE THURSDAY...STALLING
NEAR THE COAST FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST MONDAY OR TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-240145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           74           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  3         SW  8        SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  4        SW  7        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         82/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        59           100          50
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4280                      5010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 15
VENTILATION RATE      34240                     75150
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  22 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      8 POOR       47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           74           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  4         SW  8        SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        SW  7        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            1
INVERSION             80/0900      2100         81/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        55           100          52
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4800                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 17
VENTILATION RATE      33600                     90100
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  21 FAIR      38 FAIR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      7 POOR       57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           73           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  3         SW  6        SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  3        SW  6        SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           100          48
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4950                      5690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 15
VENTILATION RATE      39600                     85350
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  22 FAIR      44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240145-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
537 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           73           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  4         SW  6        SW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  4        SW  7        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           100          47
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5510                      6080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 16
VENTILATION RATE      55100                     97280
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  30 FAIR      45 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            4            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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