Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 290834
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
434 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN ACROSS THE AREA AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL
STAY SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE MOVING
FARTHER OFFSHORE. THE LOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA
TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BY MID
WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
WITH COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-300045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
434 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           62           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         N  7         NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         NE  7        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.15         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1
INVERSION             74/1100      2000         73/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        62           99           56
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3150                      3530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      40950                     31770
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-300045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
434 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           59           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NE  5        N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         NE  5        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            3
INVERSION             72/1100      2000         71/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           99           57
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3060                      3470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      27540                     27760
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      16 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-300045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
434 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           61           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  4        NE  7        N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  7        NE  7        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.18         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1
INVERSION             75/1100      2000         73/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        67           99           62
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3170                      3630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     NE 10
VENTILATION RATE      44380                     36300
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      22 FAIR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-300045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
434 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           58           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  5        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        NE  5        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.13         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       6            4
INVERSION             72/1100      2000         71/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        71           100          57
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3050                      3440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE      36600                     24080
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  18 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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