Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 050956
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
456 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE BRISK AND CHILLY IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING COASTAL LOW PRESSURE
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY
AND THEN REMAIN INTO SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST LATE SATURDAY AND QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING A QUICK BOUT OF RAIN WHICH COULD MIX WITH SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DRY AND BRISK CONDITIONS WILL
PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO DRY OUT NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-060200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
456 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           26           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 15 G27    N  3         NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 14 G26     N  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0
INVERSION             NONE         2000         43/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        40           82           38
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3410                      2680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      NW  8
VENTILATION RATE      68200                     21440
ADI EARLY             43 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-060200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
456 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          48           27           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 15 G26    N  3         NE  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 14 G26     LGT/VAR      N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             NONE         2000         42/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        36           82           36
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3360                      2740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N  8
VENTILATION RATE      57120                     21920
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              45 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-060200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
456 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           28           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 16 G31    N  4         NE  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 14 G26     N  4         NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             NONE         2000         45/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        38           84           41
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3400                      2720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 12
VENTILATION RATE      57800                     32640
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              46 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-060200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
456 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           28           52
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 15 G29    LGT/VAR      NE  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 15 G27     N  3         NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             NONE         2000         42/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        33           81           35
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3390                      2760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 10
VENTILATION RATE      57630                     27600
ADI EARLY             47 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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