Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
000
FNUS52 KILM 221853
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring showers and a few storms late Monday through
Tuesday morning, and some storms could be strong. Cooler air
will spread across the region through mid-week, as the front
moves off the coast.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-231100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           80           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          60           80           66           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         SE  8        S 11         SW 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        SE 12        S 10         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.54         0.24
Precip duration                    2            9            4
Inversion             1800         67/0900      2000         68/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4520                      4970
Transport wnd (mph)                S 28                      W 17
Ventilation rate                   126560                    84490
ADI early             37 Fair      57 Gen good  43 Gen good  67 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  78 Good      13 Gen poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            5
Max LVORI late        9            3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           90           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          61           79           63           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        SE  7        S 11         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         SE 11        S  9         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.63         0.17
Precip duration                    2            10           4
Inversion             1800         67/0900      2000         65/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          59           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3870                      4320
Transport wnd (mph)                S 30                      SW 16
Ventilation rate                   116100                    69120
ADI early             36 Fair      58 Gen good  41 Gen good  52 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  78 Good      10 poor      67 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           70           90           50
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          64           80           63           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  7         SE  9        S 12         W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        SE 13        SW 10        W  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.12         0.61         0.15
Precip duration       1            5            12           3
Inversion             1800         70/0900      2000         65/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          65           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3450                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 33                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   113850                    62400
ADI early             42 Gen good  60 Gen good  44 Gen good  38 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  81 Good      10 poor      59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            8
Max LVORI late        8            3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-231100-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           70           90           40
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          63           79           61           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         SE  8        S 10         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        S 12         SW  8        SW  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.20         0.63         0.12
Precip duration       1            6            12           3
Inversion             1800         69/0900      2000         63/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          67           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3250                      3820
Transport wnd (mph)                S 35                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   113750                    61120
ADI early             43 Gen good  60 Gen good  41 Gen good  43 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  83 Good      9 poor       63 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            9
Max LVORI late        9            3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-231100-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
253 PM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           80           90           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          61           77           61           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  6        SE  8        S 12         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        SE 11        SW  8        SW  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.26         0.66         0.10
Precip duration       0            6            12           3
Inversion             1800         67/0900      2000         62/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          69           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3000                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)                S 35                      W 15
Ventilation rate                   105000                    57450
ADI early             41 Gen good  55 Gen good  39 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  76 Good      8 poor       58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            8
Max LVORI late        9            3            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.