Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS52 KILM 011121
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
621 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS MOISTURE OVERRUNS
A COOL SURFACE AIRMASS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY
AND SET UP A COOL TUESDAY. WEDNESDAY WILL WARM UP INTO THE 70S ON
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING UNSETTLED
WEATHER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. COOL WEATHER WILL LAST INTO THE
WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...5SM OR LESS: LOW TO MODERATE

NCZ105>110-020330-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
621 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          52           39           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  8        SW  3        NW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  6        W  5         N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            3
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    52/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        63           98           56
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       2240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N 16
VENTILATION RATE      2250                      35840
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              12 POOR      4 VERY POOR  36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-020330-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
621 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          45           38           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        NW  3        NW  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  3        W  4         N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       9            2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    52/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        69           100          55
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       2370
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      N 13
VENTILATION RATE      2500                      30810
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       4 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-020330-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
621 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          49           39           63
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  4         N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    54/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        67           96           62
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       2140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N  8
VENTILATION RATE      3000                      17120
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      4 VERY POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-020330-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
621 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           20
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          44           38           64
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  7        NW  4        NW  5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     N  3         W  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    54/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        69           100          57
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   250                       2360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      N  9
VENTILATION RATE      2500                      21240
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              11 POOR      3 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            8            9
MAX LVORI LATE        6            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

31





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.