Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 180751
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Shower and storm coverage will decrease in the days ahead
as a front dissipates and drying aloft takes place. A strong
ridge of high pressure will bring the hottest temperatures of
the summer season late week and weekend, and heat advisories
and even warnings may be needed.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-190000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          85           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.22         0.03         0.03
Precip duration       3            2            1
Inversion             79/1000      2100         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        63           94           58
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5890                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      W  7
Ventilation rate      76570                     44100
ADI early             34 Fair      30 Fair      47 Gen good
ADI late              39 Fair      3 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            5            8
Max LVORI late        3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 80. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          88           71           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  3
Precip amount         0.18         0.03         0.04
Precip duration       3            1            2
Inversion             78/1000      2100         77/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        58           97           52
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6770                      7630
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      W  7
Ventilation rate      60930                     53410
ADI early             29 Fair      29 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              32 Fair      4 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 80. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-190000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            3
Min/Max Temp          85           71           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.17         0.03         0.04
Precip duration       2            2            1
Inversion             79/1000      2100         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        63           95           54
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5680                      7190
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      W  6
Ventilation rate      39760                     43140
ADI early             21 Fair      27 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              26 Fair      4 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            4            8
Max LVORI late        3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-190000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          87           71           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         LGT/VAR      SW  4
Precip amount         0.13         0.03         0.04
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             78/1000      2100         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           98           50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6670                      7890
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     W  8
Ventilation rate      33350                     63120
ADI early             22 Fair      23 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-190000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
351 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          89           71           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  3         SW  4
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.03
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             78/1000      2100         78/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           99           48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7550                      8560
Transport wnd (mph)   S  2                      W  8
Ventilation rate      15100                     68480
ADI early             21 Fair      20 Gen poor  39 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  3 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 101. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 80. Maximum RH 81 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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