Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 202012
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Mild temperatures for January, will prevail through early next
week. A cold front will bring showers Monday night into Tuesday
morning. Temperatures will be near normal Wednesday and
Thursday as high pressure builds in from the west. The high
moves offshore for the end of the week with temperatures warming
above normal.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ087-096-099-211215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           64           39           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         56/1200      1800         58/1200
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        92           48           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3530                      2720
Transport wnd (mph)                S  2                      S 18
Ventilation rate                   7060                      48960
ADI early             3 Very poor  25 Fair      2 Very poor  36 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  22 Fair      1 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            10
Max LVORI late        6            3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-211215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           66           39           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         59/1200      1800         61/1200
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           46           99           50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3090                      2250
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  3                     S 17
Ventilation rate                   9270                      38250
ADI early             4 Very poor  22 Fair      2 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  14 Gen poor  1 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            10
Max LVORI late        6            3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-211215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           66           40           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         LGT/VAR      SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         60/1200      1800         61/1200
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           44           98           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3700                      2430
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     S 15
Ventilation rate                   18500                     36450
ADI early             3 Very poor  22 Fair      2 Very poor  12 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-211215-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           66           40           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         59/1200      1800         59/1200
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           42           99           52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3910                      2660
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  6                     S 16
Ventilation rate                   23460                     42560
ADI early             3 Very poor  23 Fair      3 Very poor  33 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  25 Fair      1 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
33 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-211215-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
312 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           66           39           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  3         LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         56/1200      1800         56/1200
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           45           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4060                      2730
Transport wnd (mph)                S  5                      S 18
Ventilation rate                   20300                     49140
ADI early             2 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  32 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  20 Gen poor  2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            8            5            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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