Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 250807
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm air will prevail across the Carolinas today. A cold front
approaching from the west will move off the coast this evening.
Cooler and drier air high pressure will spread into the area
tonight and persist through Monday. Shower chances will increase
Monday night and early Tuesday as a warm front lifts north
across the area. Much warmer temperatures will follow the front
Tuesday and Wednesday before the next cold front moves offshore
Thursday. Temperatures will drop to near to slightly below
normal Friday as a cooler and drier air mass builds over the
area.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...High

NCZ105>110-260015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           41           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        W 10 G21     NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 13 G25    NW  7        NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1000      None         None
Max/Min RH (%)        45           71           23
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5790                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     NW  5
Ventilation rate      138960                    18000
ADI early             32 Fair      17 Gen poor  36 Fair
ADI late              71 Good      16 Gen poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-260015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           40           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6 G20    W 11 G22     NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 15 G27    NW  6        NW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1000      None         None
Max/Min RH (%)        36           60           22
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7150                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 26                     W  6
Ventilation rate      185900                    22980
ADI early             37 Fair      25 Fair      30 Fair
ADI late              95 Good      13 Gen poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-260015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           41           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        W 11 G22     N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 14 G26    NW  7        NW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             71/1000      None         None
Max/Min RH (%)        40           59           23
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6960                      3510
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     NW  3
Ventilation rate      160080                    10530
ADI early             35 Fair      27 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              84 Good      14 Gen poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-260015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           Sprinkles    None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           38           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G21    W 11 G22     N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 16 G29    NW  6        W  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1000      None         None
Max/Min RH (%)        29           62           22
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7150                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      W  6
Ventilation rate      200200                    22800
ADI early             60 Gen good  25 Fair      27 Fair
ADI late              99 Good      12 poor      30 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-260015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
307 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           40           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G20    W 11 G22     N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 15 G27    NW  6        W  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1000      None         None
Max/Min RH (%)        33           60           22
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7060                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 26                      NW  3
Ventilation rate      183560                    11100
ADI early             59 Gen good  29 Fair      31 Fair
ADI late              93 Good      13 Gen poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            2            2
Max LVORI late        1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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