Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210818
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal trough just off the Carolina coasts and an approaching
cold front from the northwest will combine to produce light pcpn
late this afternoon thru tonight...with the coastal areas seeing the
best shot of seeing measurable rainfall. High pressure will follow
and slowly build in from the west Wednesday thru Friday. At the same
time, low pressure will pass just south and east of the area Wed night
thru Thu with the immediate coast again seeing the best chance for
rainfall. A strong cold front will approach from the west during Sat
and will sweep across the forecast area and off the coast to well
offshore by late Sat night. Strong, dry and cold Canadian high
pressure will follow Sunday thru early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-220030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           51           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  3         N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.16         0.00
Precip duration                    2
Inversion             50/0900      1700         59/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          57
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2600                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     N 16
Ventilation rate      26000                     46400
ADI early             22 Fair      5 Very poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              34 Fair      2 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-220030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           50           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.08         0.00
Precip duration                    2
Inversion             46/0900      1700         58/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        55           100          54
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2220                      3270
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     N 16
Ventilation rate      19980                     52320
ADI early             8 poor       4 Very poor  40 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      1 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           9            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-220030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           48           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             44/0900      1700         57/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          52
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1750                      3350
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     N 16
Ventilation rate      14000                     53600
ADI early             7 poor       4 Very poor  39 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  3 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           8            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-220030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           51           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        E  3         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      N  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.00
Precip duration       0            2
Inversion             51/0900      1700         59/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          57
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2310                      2760
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     N 14
Ventilation rate      23100                     38640
ADI early             17 Gen poor  5 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              26 Fair      3 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            7            8
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           50           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        NE  3        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       0            1
Inversion             47/0900      1700         58/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1880                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9                      N 13
Ventilation rate      16920                     41210
ADI early             9 poor       4 Very poor  34 Fair
ADI late              17 Gen poor  2 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
318 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           0
Precip type           None         Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           48           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         LGT/VAR      N  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             45/0900      1700         56/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1610                      3370
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9                      N 14
Ventilation rate      14490                     47180
ADI early             7 poor       4 Very poor  37 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen poor  3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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