Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 281943
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TONIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS NEAR THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH
OF THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE THROUGH MID
WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
WITH COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THE LATTER PART OF
THE WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-291145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           70           80           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           77           64           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  3         NE  3        NE  6        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  6        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.48         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       0            5            11           3
INVERSION             2000         76/1200      2000         71/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        93           62           93           64
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2780                      2610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     NE 14
VENTILATION RATE                   25020                     36540
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      9 POOR       19 GEN POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  23 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-291145-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           70           70           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           76           62           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NE  3        NE  5        NE  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  5        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.44         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       0            5            7            2
INVERSION             2000         74/1200      2000         69/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           64           95           63
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2820                      2760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 16
VENTILATION RATE                   47940                     44160
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      10 POOR      29 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  39 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-291145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           90           90           50
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           76           65           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E  5         NE  4        NE  7        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  6        NE  6        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.55         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            11           3
INVERSION             2000         76/1200      2000         71/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        89           71           95           68
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2310                      2620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 14                      NE 21
VENTILATION RATE                   32340                     55020
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  23 FAIR      25 FAIR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  28 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6            5
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-291145-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DILLON...MARION
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           80           70           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           73           62           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  4        NE  6        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  5        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.44         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            1
INVERSION             2000         73/1200      2000         69/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           70           98           59
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2540                      3040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 24                     NE 17
VENTILATION RATE                   60960                     51680
ADI EARLY             12 POOR      14 GEN POOR  38 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-291145-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DARLINGTON...FLORENCE...KINGSTREE
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           90           80           30
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           75           62           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  3        NE  4        NE  7        NE  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        NE  7        NE  5        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.38         0.49         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       1            9            10           3
INVERSION             2000         73/1200      2000         70/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        91           73           99           61
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2090                      2840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 22                     NE 21
VENTILATION RATE                   45980                     59640
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR  37 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            7            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            7            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

17






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