Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS52 KILM 220832
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
332 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX AND POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE CAROLINAS
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER DURING
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH
MONDAY SHOULD AMOUNT TO ONE TO THREE INCHES. THIS STORM SYSTEM
WILL SLOWLY DEPART THROUGH MONDAY LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA ON THURSDAY. MUCH COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FRIDAY AND
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

NCZ105>110-230045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
332 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           53           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  6        S 13 G24     SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S 11 G20     SW 13 G25    SW 12 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.71         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2
INVERSION             62/0900      1800         59/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        77           96           60
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2500                      4740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 25
VENTILATION RATE      40000                     118500
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              38 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
332 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          72           52           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  5         S 12         SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S 10         SW 11        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.67         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            2
INVERSION             62/1000      1800         57/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        76           95           63
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3080                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 25
VENTILATION RATE      52360                     115500
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  72 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-230045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
332 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   4            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          73           52           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  8         S 14 G23     SW 11 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S 13 G22     SW 13 G24    SW 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.49         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       7            6            1
INVERSION             63/0900      1800         58/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        73           99           61
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3060                      4910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 26
VENTILATION RATE      64260                     127660
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR  52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              44 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  80 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
332 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   4            5            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          73           51           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    S  7         S 13 G20     SW 11
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     S 12 G20     SW 12        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.45         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            2
INVERSION             63/1000      1800         56/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        73           94           62
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3130                      4550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 23
VENTILATION RATE      68860                     104650
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.