Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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404
FNUS72 KILM 251817
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLDEN TRIANGLE FIRE-DAY 2...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
217 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1409 EDT ON JUNE 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTH AND ACROSS THE AREA TODAY,
BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT WITH DRIER
WEATHER ARRIVING FOR SUNDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST AND
MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
MAX ADI.............29.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2070-25414 MPH-FT).
MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............47     52     51     47     46     50
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................85     81     79     77     76     74
RH..................73     81     85     87     88     89
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   E 5    E 5    E 5    NE 4   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 4   E 4    E 4    E 4    NE 3   NE 3
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
LVORI...............3      4      4      5      6      6
ADI.................29     7      9      8      4      4
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...25     19     25     15     3      2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MAX ADI.............39.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2300-40135 MPH-FT).
MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............60     69     65     58     54     48
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............ISOLTD
TEMP................73     75     79     83     84     84
RH..................90     86     76     68     65     66
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 5   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 4   NE 4   NE 4   E 4    E 5    E 5
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10     10     10     15     15
LVORI...............6      5      3      3      3      3
ADI.................5      6      20     22     24     38
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2      3      18     24     37     40
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BRAMLETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160625.GOLDE.02/ILM



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