Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000 FGUS71 KILN 011830 ESFILN INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117- 135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041- 045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131- 135-141-145-149-159-165-031830- WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 230 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015 ...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK... ...FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH APRIL 16 IS ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. THIS OUTLOOK IS THE FIFTH IN A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS FOR THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING. ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS. THE FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION. ...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT... THERE IS NO LONGER A SNOWPACK OVER THE AREA. ...STREAMFLOW... STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY APRIL ACROSS THE REGION. ...ICE... RIVER ICE IS NOT A PROBLEM. ...SOIL MOISTURE... SOILS WERE GENERALLY EXHIBITING NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE FOR EARLY APRIL. CONDITIONS VARY SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE AREA...WITH SOILS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER HAVING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE WHILE FARTHER NORTH SOILS HAVE NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE. ...RESERVOIR CAPACITY... AREA RESERVOIRS ARE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL POOL FOR EARLY APRIL. HOWEVER MOST LAKES ARE STILL ONLY UTILIZING LESS THAN 20 PERCENT OF THEIR STORAGE CAPACITY. THE HIGHEST LAKES ARE RELEASING WATER IN ORDER TO BRING LAKE LEVELS CLOSER TO OPTIMUM FLOOD CONTROL. ...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION... FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD...THERE WILL BE A COUPLE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF CONSIDERABLE DURATION. FOR THIS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A SLOW MOVING AND MOISTURE-LADEN FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL IMPACT BASINS WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY INDICATED FOR THIS EVENT. ANOTHER PERSISTENT FRONTAL ZONE MAY IMPACT STREAMS FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...THOUGH IT IS A BIT TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT RAINFALL AMOUNTS. FOR THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK PERIOD...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST. REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE): WEATHER.GOV/ILN/ AND THEN CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB. $$ CONIGLIO

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