Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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636 FGUS71 KILN 311902 ESFILN INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117- 135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041- 045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131- 135-141-145-149-159-165-021915- WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 302 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016 ...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK... FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH APRIL 14 IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN OHIO...SOUTHEST INDIANA AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY. NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A RIVER OR TWO TO RISE TO OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE. THIS OUTLOOK IS PART OF A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION. ...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT... AT THE TIME OF ISSUANCE...THERE WAS NO SNOW PACK IN THE AREA. ...STREAMFLOW... STREAMFLOW IS RUNNING NEAR NORMAL...WITH RISES EXPECTED FROM CURRENT RAINFALL AT THE TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE. A BRIEF ABOVE NORMAL PERIOD IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF APRIL BEFORE RECEDING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. ...ICE... THERE IS NO ICE ON AREA RIVERS. ...SOIL MOISTURE... SOIL MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL MAINLY IN THE GREAT/LITTLE MIAMI BASINS...AS WELL AS THE WHITEWATER BASIN. THROUGH THE REST OF THE REGION...SOIL MOISTURE WAS NEAR NORMAL FOR EARLY APRIL. ...RESERVOIR CAPACITY... AREA RESERVOIRS WERE AT NORMAL WINTER POOL LEVELS...SO OPTIMUM FLOOD STORAGE CAPACITY IS IN EFFECT. ...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION... LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BRING MINOR WITHIN BANK RIVER RISES THROUGH THE INITIAL WEEKEND OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. NO ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT LIQUID PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE FIRST 7 DAYS OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. THERE IS A PATTERN SHIFT IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...WITH A WEAK SIGNAL OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...COMBINED WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SO FLOOD POTENTIAL COULD RISE NEAR AND AFTER THE APRIL 7 TIMEFRAME. REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE): WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ILN $$

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