Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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851 FXUS63 KJKL 251244 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 844 AM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017 .UPDATE... Issued at 606 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2017 Forecast is on track, and the only changes are to blend early morning obs into the forecast grids. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday) Issued at 213 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2017 Surface high pressure ridging into our region from the west, underneath a large scale eastern CONUS trough, will result in fair weather and below normal temps for the next couple of days. With mixing today, dew points will probably drop to the upper 40s in some locations this afternoon. After highs only in the upper 70s, this will set us up for a cool night, with some of the colder valleys potentially dipping below 50. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 306 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2017 The extended will feature alternating periods of wet and dry weather and below normal and normal temperatures. The model data is depicting a weak frontal boundary moving across the region Monday and Tuesday. This system is forecast to bring isolated to scattered rain showers to eastern Kentucky. A ridge of high pressure is then expected to settle over the region from Tuesday afternoon through late Thursday morning. This ridge will bring dry and pleasant weather back to eastern Kentucky for the middle of the week. A series of weather systems are then expected to move across the Ohio Valley region to end out the week and into the upcoming weekend. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible at times from Thursday afternoon onward. Temperatures will start out quite cool and well below normal to begin the period, with highs in the low to mid 70s on tap for Tuesday. After that, temperatures will average around normal for the rest of the week, with daily highs varying from the low to mid 80s from day to day. Nightly lows will start out in the 50s and will only fall into the 60s from Wednesday night onward. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning) ISSUED AT 844 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2017 High pressure will build east from the mid MS valley into the OH valley, keeping VFR conditions and light winds across the forecast area into Monday. Some fog will form in the river valleys tonight, but the TAF sites should not be affected.
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&& .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ UPDATE...HAL SHORT TERM...HAL LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...SBH

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