Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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335 FXUS63 KJKL 092030 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 330 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 330 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016 WATER VAPOR AND MESOANALYSIS STILL DEPICTING A DEEP AND BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS IS LEADING TO SNOW SHOWERS AND MAYBE EVEN SNOW SQUALLS AT TIMES. GIVEN THIS GENERAL FLOW AND THE OPEN GREAT LAKE WATERS SOME OF OUR MOISTURE IS COMING OFF THE LAKES. MOST OF THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...BUT OF FEW OF THESE SHOWERS COULD BE MODERATE TO EVEN HEAVY AT TIMES. THIS WILL STILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AND REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. OVERALL GIVEN THIS WILL OPT TO LEAVE OUR CURRENT ADVISORY AS IS. THE OTHER STORY WILL BE THE CONTINUAL COLD AIR ADVECTION OVERTIME...WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE MID TEENS OVERNIGHT. BASED ON THE SOUNDINGS WE COULD SEE OCCASIONAL GUSTS AT TIMES WITH DECENT MIXING...SO DID KEEP SOME GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES TONIGHT. NOW FOR WEDNESDAY THIS BROAD LOW WILL BEGIN TO EXIT EAST AND THIS WILL AID IN WAINING THE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY FROM SW TO NE. THE CLOUDS SHOULD ALSO BEGIN EXITING THE REGION IN THE SAME FASHION...TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW 20S AND EVEN TEENS IN SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE POTENTIAL FOR CLEARING SKIES COULD LEAD TO A VERY COLD NIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON CLEARING IN THE SW DUE TO ANOTHER WAVE. THERE REMAINS A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND IF WE GET ANY CHANCE OF PRECIP IN THAT AREA...RIGHT NOW KEEPING IT DRY. EITHER WAY RIGHT NOW TEMPS LOOK TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 330 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016 AVAILABLE SHORTLY...
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&& .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1250 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016 SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ARE STILL THE STORY THIS AFTERNOON AND WSR-88D IS INDICATING SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS ARE VERY DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AND FOR NOW USED A TEMPO GROUP TO HANDLE THIS. GENERALLY MOST SITES WILL SEE MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS FROM TIME TO TIME. OTHERWISE WE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE IMPROVING TAFS IN TERMS OF VIS...AS SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES BEGIN TO EXIT THE REGION WED AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT OUTSIDE OF ANY HEAVIER SNOW SHOWER/SQUALL...WHERE WINDS COULD BRIEFLY GUST 15 TO 20 KTS. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR KYZ044- 050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. && $$ SHORT TERM...DJ LONG TERM...GREIF AVIATION...DJ

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