Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 221940 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 340 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 .SHORT TERM...
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(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 340 PM EDT TUE AUG 22 2017 A cold front is presently pushing towards the Ohio river with some showers and thunderstorms developing just ahead of this feature. Other convection which fired along an outflow from overnight convection is now pushing its way across eastern Kentucky. Better bulk shear values remain across central/northern Kentucky, and as such, activity is really weakening as it outruns the better shear. After the present showers/storms push on through, will be a few hours before the next round with the front pushes on through. With lots of instability still present in central Kentucky, hesitant to let go of the severe thunderstorm watch yet. Thus, will hang on the watch for at least another hour or two to see how upstream convection behaves. Damaging winds will continue to be the main threat with the strongest storms. All of this activity and associated front will drop south and east overnight and be on the way out towards daybreak Wednesday. This will lead to a drier Wednesday along with much cooler conditions. Some cloud cover may hang on well into the afternoon before clearing late in the day. The clear skies will allow a cool night to set up for Wednesday night as temperatures fall back into the 50s. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 340 PM EDT TUE AUG 22 2017 Long term forecast will be issued shortly.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) ISSUED AT 226 PM EDT TUE AUG 22 2017 A cold front will swing south across eastern Kentucky through this evening and tonight and bring periods of showers and thunderstorms to the area. These will bring reductions in visibility and ceilings at times. As the front passes later tonight, some lower cigs could develop late tonight bringing ceilings into the MVFR category and possibly even IFR late. These low clouds will dissipate by midday on Wednesday. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAS LONG TERM...GREIF AVIATION...KAS

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