Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 270913
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
513 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...Another disturbance is expected to progress across
eastern Kentucky today into tonight bringing another shot of
showers and thunderstorms to the region. Then an upper level ridge
will provide a break, with drying expected Wednesday into Wednesday
night. This before another in a string of disturbances will
increase rain shower chances to round out the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-272015-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
513 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest 10
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....75.
Vent Rate...........Good (75100 knot-ft).
ADI.................40 increasing to 54 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening.
                    Scattered thunderstorms. Periods of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................47 decreasing to 13 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.23 - 0.36 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (65200 knot-ft).
ADI.................32 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-272015-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
513 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
                    Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....69.
Vent Rate...........Good (69100 knot-ft).
ADI.................38 increasing to 50 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening.
                    Scattered thunderstorms. Periods of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................46 decreasing to 7 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.11 - 0.34 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....51.
Vent Rate...........Good (50900 knot-ft).
ADI.................38.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-272015-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
513 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
                    Isolated rain showers in the morning, then
                    scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest 10
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....69.
Vent Rate...........Good (68800 knot-ft).
ADI.................49.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the evening.
                    Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................40 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 - 0.28 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....64.
Vent Rate...........Good (63700 knot-ft).
ADI.................34 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.25 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

$$
DJ



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