Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 202100 AAA
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
500 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

...Dry and Warm Weather Continues Through the Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure over the eastern part of
the nation will provide us with warm and dry weather through the
weekend. A storm system approaching from the southwest will bring
our next shot of rain Monday into Monday night. A thorough soaking
is expected from this followed by cooler weather.

KYZ068-079-083-084-210815-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
500 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy dense valley fog dawn.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy dense valley fog early.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....28.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27700 knot-ft).
ADI.................6 increasing to 35 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................22 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....32.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (31800 knot-ft).
ADI.................37.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-210815-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
500 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy dense valley fog late.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................11 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy dense valley fog early.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....21.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21000 knot-ft).
ADI.................3 increasing to 26 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................14 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....27.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26600 knot-ft).
ADI.................29.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-210815-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
500 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy dense valley fog late.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....19.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19100 knot-ft).
ADI.................4 increasing to 24 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................16 decreasing to 4 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....24.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24000 knot-ft).
ADI.................24.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning,
then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 60. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in
the evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost late. Lows in
the mid 30s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Areas of frost early. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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