Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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AXUS73 KLBF 151743
DGTLBF
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-171745-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1143 AM CST THU DEC 15 2016 /1043 AM MST THU DEC 15 2016/

...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED OVER PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...


.SYNOPSIS...

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUED THROUGH
THE END OF NOVEMBER. A PATTERN SHIFT OCCURRED IN EARLY DECEMBER
WHICH RESULTED IN A SHIFT FROM THE WARM TEMPERATURES TO
SEASONALLY COLD TEMPERATURES. A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS MOVED
ACROSS THE AREA WITH ONLY LOCALLY AREAS RECORDING MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION. IN GENERAL PRECIPITATION DEFICITS HAVE INCREASED
OVER THE LATE SUMMER AND FALL SEASONS. THE LACK OF RAINFALL ALONG
WITH THE WARM FALL TEMPERATURES HAS RESULTED IN THE EXPANSION OF
DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.


.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF DECEMBER 15TH...ACCORDING TO THE US DROUGHT
MONITOR...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING WEST OF A LINE
FROM VALENTINE TO ARTHUR TO SUTHERLAND...AS WELL AS EAST OF A
LINE FROM O`NEILL TO NORTH PLATTE.

WITHIN THE ABNORMALLY DRY AREA...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE
OCCURRING OVER DEUEL...KEITH...PERKINS...CHASE AND SOUTHERN
GARDEN COUNTIES...AS WELL AS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SHERIDAN
COUNTY. FURTHER EAST...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE ALSO
INDICATED OVER PORTIONS OF GARFIELD AND WHEELER COUNTIES.


.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED
STATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY
INCLUDES THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...DECEMBER
2015 TO NOVEMBER 2016...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...JUNE 2016 TO NOVEMBER 2016...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH
PRECIPITATION TOTALS...SEPTEMBER TO NOVEMBER...AND THE
PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN DECEMBER...THROUGH DECEMBER 14.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       DEC-NOV  NORMAL   DEP   |  JUN-NOV  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    22.71   20.23  +2.48   |    11.25   12.38  -1.13
VALENTINE       26.68   20.02  +6.66   |    12.32   12.49  -0.17
BROKEN BOW *    25.23   23.62  +1.61   |    11.46   14.22  -2.76
IMPERIAL   *    18.68   19.14  -0.46   |     8.02   12.05  -3.85

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU DEC 14 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       SEP-NOV  NORMAL   DEP   |   DEC 14  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE      3.27   3.60  -0.33   |    0.01    0.19   -0.18
VALENTINE         3.71   3.54  +0.17   |    0.19    0.18   +0.01
BROKEN BOW *      4.05   5.04  -0.99   |       T    0.36   -0.36
IMPERIAL   *      1.81   3.40  -1.59   |    0.03    0.24   -0.21

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.

*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM ABOVE
NORMAL TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F
LOCATION     SEP  NORMAL  DEP | OCT  NORMAL  DEP  | NOV  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE 65.6  62.3  +3.3 | 55.5  49.1   +6.4 | 42.7  35.6  +7.1
VALENTINE    63.4  62.3  +1.1 | 56.0  48.5   +7.5 | 42.1  34.4  +7.7
BROKEN BOW   63.2  62.2  +1.0 | 54.6  49.4   +5.2 | 43.1  35.8  +7.3
IMPERIAL     65.7  64.4  +1.3 | 56.8  50.8   +6.0 | 43.7  37.7  +6.0


.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVER FLOWS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WERE
SEASONAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE EXCEPTION WAS ALONG THE NORTH
PLATTE RIVER WHERE ICE JAMMING HAS CAUSED ELEVATED FLOWS AT
LEWELLEN AND NORTH PLATTE. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL ICE JAMMING ALONG
AREA RIVERS WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

AS OF DECEMBER 15TH...THE ELEVATION OF LAKE MCCONAUGHY WAS 3255.3
FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL AND WAS AT 84 PERCENT OF CAPACITY. THIS
COMPARES TO THE ELEVATION OF 3256.0 FEET ONE YEAR AGO. IN FLOWS
INTO LAKE MCCONAUGHY ARE 4234 CFS WHICH IS WELL ABOVE LAST YEAR
READINGS OF 1236 CFS.


.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF THE MIDDLE OF DECEMBER...ONE HOUR FUELS ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WERE CURED AND READY TO BURN ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LARGE FIRE GROWTH HAS
OCCURRED LATE THIS FALL WHEN WIND SPEEDS WERE ELEVATED.

BOTTOM LINE...THE THREAT FOR WILD FIRES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
WINTER MONTHS IF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO REMAIN MARGINAL AND
WIND SPEED ARE ABOVE NORMAL.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE
WEATHER WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE
FIRE WEATHER FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF/FIRE


.PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING DECEMBER 20TH THROUGH
DECEMBER 24TH CALLS FOR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK COVERING DECEMBER
22ND THROUGH DECEMBER 28TH FORECASTS NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...THE LATEST 30 DAY
OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST 3 MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY...FEBRUARY AND
MARCH FORECASTS EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES.


.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE...FIRE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.


.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF
THE MONTH. THE NEXT ISSUANCE WILL BE JANUARY 19 2016.

$$

MM/SJ/JWS



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