Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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AXUS73 KLBF 171440 RRA
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NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-182359-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
939 AM CDT THU JUL 17 2014

...MODERATE DROUGHT AREA CONTINUES TO SHRINK SLIGHTLY ACROSS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

.SYNOPSIS...

PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN MID TO LATE JUNE...BROUGHT
ABUNDANT RAINFALL TO WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THIS
PATTERN TRANSITIONED TO RIDGING ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY BY EARLY JULY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...HAS DECREASED
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVER
THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. THE LACK OF THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...HAS
LED TO MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA THROUGH MID JULY. AFTER COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...RIDGING
ALOFT WILL PUSH EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATER THIS WEEKEND.
THIS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 90S FOR THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WELL WITH
RIDGING EXPECTED ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND CENTRAL PLAINS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF JULY 15TH ACCORDING TO THE US DROUGHT MONITOR...MODERATE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS TWO SECTIONS OF THE AREA.
ONE SECTION INCLUDES SOUTHERN LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN PERKINS...MUCH
OF HAYES AND WESTERN FRONTIER COUNTIES. A SECOND AREA OF MODERATE
DROUGHT WAS LOCATED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTY.
ELSEWHERE...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING GENERALLY
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ONEILL TO STAPLETON TO ARTHUR.

THE LAST TIME AT LEAST SOME PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA WAS NOT IN SEVERE DROUGHT OR WORSE CONDITIONS WAS JUNE 12
2012.

.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED
STATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY
INCLUDES THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...JULY 2013
TO JUNE 2014...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...JANUARY TO JUNE...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...APRIL TO JUNE...AND THE PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN
JULY...THROUGH JULY 16.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       JUL-JUN  NORMAL   DEP   |  JAN-JUN  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    26.70   20.23  +6.47   |   13.04   10.86   +2.18
VALENTINE       27.62   20.02  +7.60   |   15.84   10.72   +5.12
BROKEN BOW *    25.39   23.62  +1.77   |   10.80   12.90   -2.10
IMPERIAL   *    18.24   19.14  -0.90   |   12.15    9.86   +2.29

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU JUL 16 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       APR-JUN  NORMAL   DEP   |   JUL 15  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    11.20    8.97  +2.23   |    0.11    1.52   -1.41
VALENTINE       14.69    8.91  +5.78   |    0.44    1.70   -1.26
BROKEN BOW *    10.05   10.49  -0.44   |    1.38    1.51   -0.13
IMPERIAL   *    11.09    8.11  +2.98   |    0.29    1.53   -1.24

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.
*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM ABOVE
NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F

LOCATION      APR  NORMAL  DEP | MAY  NORMAL  DEP | JUN  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE  48.0  47.6  +0.4 | 57.8  57.9  -0.1 | 67.8  67.9  -0.1
VALENTINE     47.2  46.7  +0.5 | 58.0  57.6  +0.4 | 66.6  67.5  -0.9
BROKEN BOW    47.5  47.8  -0.6 | 59.7  58.8  +0.9 | 69.5  68.5  +1.0
IMPERIAL      50.1  48.5  +1.6 | 59.2  59.8  -0.6 | 69.4  70.0  -0.6

.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVERS ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE RUNNING
AT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION IS OVER FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...WHERE PORTIONS OF THE
REPUBLICAN RIVER BASIN CONTINUE TO FLOW BELOW NORMAL. THIS INCLUDES
FRENCHMAN AND STINKING WATER CREEKS.

WITH THE IRRIGATION SEASON ONGOING...GROUNDWATER DEPTHS ARE
BEGINNING TO DROP. ASIDE FROM PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...DEPTHS REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
IN THE REPUBLICAN RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...SOME WELLS AND
SPRINGS CONTINUE TO MEASURE AT 10 TO 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

THE ELEVATION AT LAKE MCCONAUGHY HAS STARTED TO DROP DUE TO
INCREASED RELEASES FOR IRRIGATION PURPOSES...AND DECREASED INFLOWS.
THE CURRENT LAKE LEVEL AS OF MID JULY IS AT 59 PERCENT OF CAPACITY.
THIS IS 5 PERCENT LOWER THAN A MONTH AGO...HOWEVER IT REMAINS
OVER 5 PERCENT HIGHER THAN WAS MEASURED ONE YEAR AGO.

.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF THE SECOND WEEK OF JULY...FULL GREEN-UP CONTINUES ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  THUS GOING INTO MID TO LATE
SUMMER...THE THREAT OF LARGE FIRE SPREAD WILL BE LOW.

BOTTOM LINE...GREEN-UP HAS DECREASED THE THREAT OF EXTREME FIRE
GROWTH ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...BUT OUR NATIVE
PLANT SPECIES ARE STILL SOMEWHAT STRESSED FROM PREVIOUS DROUGHT AND
WILL QUICKLY CURE IF EARLY SUMMER RAINS DO NOT CONTINUE.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE WEATHER
WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE FIRE WEATHER
FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LBF/FORECASTS/FIREWX/FIREWX.PHP

.PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING JULY 22ND THROUGH JULY
26TH...CALLS FOR HIGH PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST 8 TO
14 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING JULY 24TH THROUGH JULY 30TH...INDICATES
SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUING
ALONG WITH BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST ONE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR AUGUST CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
BELOW...AVERAGE AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. FOR THE ONE MONTH
PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR
NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FOR MOST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE WHERE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION EXISTS. THE LATEST THREE MONTH OUTLOOK COVERING
AUGUST...SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER CALLS FOR BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
FOR PRECIPITATION...SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST AGAIN FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE...FIRE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM/LAKE_LEVELS.HTM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.

.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF
THE MONTH UNLESS DROUGHT CONDITIONS RELAX OR INTENSIFY. THE NEXT
ROUTINE ISSUANCE WILL BE AUGUST 21 2014...BUT MAY BE SOONER IF
CONDITIONS CHANGE.

$$

MASEK/JWS/CLB/JB/SJ















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