Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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AXUS73 KLBF 191434 CCA
DGTLBF
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-212359-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
933 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS...

.SYNOPSIS...

A PATTERN SHIFT OCCURRED DURING THE FIRST HALF OF JUNE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT...WHICH HAD CONTINUED SINCE THE WINTER MONTHS...TRANSITIONED
TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW...ALLOWED GULF MOISTURE TO WORK NORTH INTO THE REGION IN JUNE
AND ALLOWED NUMEROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO TRACK INTO THE
REGION. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES...LED TO OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH
CONTAINED HEAVY RAIN. ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WAS WIDESPREAD ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
JUNE...WITH MANY LOCATIONS RECEIVING THEIR AVERAGE MONTHLY TOTAL BY
THE MIDDLE OF JUNE.

.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF JUNE 19TH ACCORDING TO THE US DROUGHT MONITOR...SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN...EASTERN
PERKINS...WESTERN FRONTIER...NORTHERN CUSTER AND LOGAN COUNTIES.
ELSEWHERE...SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM NEAR OGALLALA...TO
MULLEN...TO O`NEILL...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING
WITH ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF THIS AREA. FROM VALENTINE
TO OSHKOSH DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE NO LONGER INDICATED.

IN MANY AREAS...RECENT RAINFALL HAS LESSENED DROUGHT CONDITIONS
SOMEWHAT...THEREFORE THE DROUGHT REFERRED TO IS CONSIDERED LONG-TERM
DROUGHT.

.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED
STATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY
INCLUDES THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...JUNE 2013
TO MAY 2014...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...DECEMBER 2013 TO MAY 2014...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH
PRECIPITATION TOTALS...MARCH TO MAY...AND THE PRECIPITATION
TOTALS SO FAR IN JUNE...THROUGH JUNE 18.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       JUN-MAY  NORMAL   DEP   |  DEC-MAY  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    19.90   20.23  -0.33   |    4.45    7.85   -3.40
VALENTINE       21.44   20.02  +1.42   |    7.92    7.53   +0.39
BROKEN BOW *    19.73   23.62  -3.89   |    3.04    9.40   -6.36
IMPERIAL   *    12.63   19.14  -6.51   |    5.17    7.09   -1.92

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU JUN 18 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       MAR-MAY  NORMAL   DEP   |   JUN 18  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE     3.24    6.60  -3.36   |    6.87    2.18   +4.69
VALENTINE        6.55    6.42  +0.13   |    6.40    2.19   +4.21
BROKEN BOW *     2.58    7.89  -5.31   |    5.17    2.87   +2.30
IMPERIAL   *     4.24    6.01  -1.77   |    3.28    2.01   +1.27

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.
*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM ABOVE
NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F

LOCATION      MAR  NORMAL  DEP | APR  NORMAL  DEP | MAY  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE  36.6  38.0  -1.4 | 48.0  47.6  +0.4 | 57.8  57.9  -0.1
VALENTINE     33.5  36.2  -2.7 | 47.2  46.7  +0.5 | 58.0  57.6  +0.4
BROKEN BOW    34.8  37.7  -2.9 | 47.5  47.8  -0.6 | 59.7  58.8  +0.9
IMPERIAL      39.8  39.8   0.0 | 50.1  48.5  +1.6 | 59.2  59.8  -0.6

.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVERS ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE RUNNING
AT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

GROUNDWATER DEPTHS HAVE IMPROVED...WITH MOST OF THE AREA SEEING NEAR
OR ABOVE NORMAL DEPTHS. THERE ARE SOME LOCATIONS OVER FAR SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA THAT DO REMAIN AT A DEFICIT...WITH SOME WELLS AND SPRINGS
MEASURING 10 TO 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

THE ELEVATION AT LAKE MCCONAUGHY HAS INCREASED THROUGH LATE MAY AND
THE FIRST PART OF JUNE. THE LEVEL HAS RISEN 5 PERCENT IN THE PAST
MONTH...WHICH IS ALMOST 5 PERCENT HIGHER THAN THE LEVEL MEASURED A
YEAR AGO. WELL ABOVE NORMAL SNOWMELT RUNOFF ALONG THE SOUTH PLATTE
RIVER ALLOWED MINIMAL RELEASES TO BE MADE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL AND
IRRIGATION PURPOSES. MEANWHILE...INFLOWS INTO THE LAKE HAVE BEEN
HIGH AS THE ABOVE NORMAL SNOWMELT RUNOFF THROUGH THE NORTH PLATTE
RIVER BASIN MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE RIVER SYSTEM. THE COMBINATION
OF THESE FACTORS HAS LED TO THE INCREASE IN THE LAKE ELEVATION.

.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF THE SECOND WEEK OF JUNE...FULL GREEN UP HAS OCCURRED ACROSS
ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  THUS GOING INTO EARLY
SUMMER...THE THREAT OF LARGE FIRE SPREAD WILL BE LOW.

BOTTOM LINE...RECENT GREEN-UP HAS DECREASED THE THREAT OF EXTREME
FIRE GROWTH ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...BUT OUR
NATIVE PLANT SPECIES ARE STILL SOMEWHAT STRESSED FROM PREVIOUS
DROUGHT AND WILL QUICKLY CURE IF EARLY SUMMER RAINS DO NOT
CONTINUE.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE WEATHER
WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE FIRE WEATHER
FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LBF/FORECASTS/FIREWX/FIREWX.PHP

.PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING JUNE 24TH THROUGH JUNE
28TH...CALLS FOR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM VALENTINE TO OSHKOSH...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ELSEWHERE. FOR THE SAME PERIOD...SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED NORTH OF A LINE FROM GORDON TO O`NEILL...WITH NEAR
NORMAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST ELSEWHERE. THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY
OUTLOOK...COVERING JUNE 26TH THROUGH JULY 2ND...CALLS FOR NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA...AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION
MOST PLACES AS WELL...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM VALENTINE TO O`NEILL.

THE LATEST 30 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JULY CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT
THE EASTERN PANHANDLE WHERE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES EXIST FOR BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST WEST OF
A LINE FROM VALENTINE TO IMPERIAL...WITH EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION ELSEWHERE FOR THE MONTH
OF JULY. THE LATEST 90 DAY OUTLOOK COVERING JULY...AUGUST AND
SEPTEMBER CALLS FOR BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR
AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM O`NEILL TO OGALLALA...WITH EQUAL CHANCES
FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE. FOR
PRECIPITATION...SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST FOR AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM VALENTINE TO
IMPERIAL...WITH EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ELSEWHERE DURING THE 90 DAY PERIOD.

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE...FIRE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM/LAKE_LEVELS.HTM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.


.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF
THE MONTH UNLESS DROUGHT CONDITIONS RELAX OR INTENSIFY. THE NEXT
ROUTINE ISSUANCE WILL BE JULY 17 2014...BUT MAY BE SOONER IF
CONDITIONS CHANGE.

$$

JWS














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