Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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AXUS73 KLBF 030139 RRA
DGTLBF
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-042359-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
838 PM CDT THU APR 03 2015

...DROUGHT DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

.SYNOPSIS...

PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...AND A LACK OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...LED TO RECORD OR NEAR RECORD DRYNESS ACROSS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA IN MARCH. IN ADDITION TO THE LACK OF
MOISTURE...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OCCURRED ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. NORTH PLATTE SAW THEIR DRIEST
MARCH ON RECORD WITH 0.01 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION. VALENTINE HAD
THEIR SECOND DRIEST MARCH ON RECORD WITH A MEAGER 0.03 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION RECORDED. FOR MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...THE LAST DECENT PRECIPITATION ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...FELL DURING THE FIRST WEEK
OF FEBRUARY.


.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF APRIL 2...ACCORDING TO THE US DROUGHT MONITOR...MODERATE
DROUGHT IS OCCURRING ACROSS TWO SECTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE FIRST EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEAST CHASE THROUGH
ALL OF HAYES...FRONTIER AND SOUTHEAST CUSTER COUNTY. A SECOND
AREA OF MODERATE DROUGHT WAS OCCURRING ALONG THE NIOBRARA VALLEY
FROM NORTHEAST CHERRY COUNTY EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN ROCK AND
NORTHERN BROWN COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF KEYA PAHA AND BOYD
COUNTIES. ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE
AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM BIG SPRINGS TO MERRIMAN.


.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED
STATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY
INCLUDES THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...APRIL 2014
TO MARCH 2015...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...OCTOBER 2014 TO MARCH 2015...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH
PRECIPITATION TOTALS...JANUARY TO MARCH...AND THE PRECIPITATION
TOTALS SO FAR IN APRIL...THROUGH APRIL 1.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       APR-MAR  NORMAL   DEP   |  OCT-MAR  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    20.43   20.23  +0.20   |    2.60    4.49   -1.89
VALENTINE       21.29   20.02  +1.27   |    2.66    4.08   -1.42
BROKEN BOW *    18.86   23.62  -4.76   |    2.87    5.70   -2.83
IMPERIAL   *    18.15   19.14  -0.99   |    5.84    4.66   -2.48

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU APR 01 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       JAN-MAR  NORMAL   DEP   |   APR 01  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE     0.75    1.89  -1.14   |    0.00    0.05   -0.05
VALENTINE        0.65    1.81  -1.16   |    0.00    0.05   -0.05
BROKEN BOW *     0.60    2.41  -1.81   |    0.00    0.05   -0.05
IMPERIAL   *     0.56    1.75  -1.19   |    0.07    0.05   +0.02

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.
*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F

LOCATION      JAN  NORMAL  DEP | FEB  NORMAL  DEP | MAR  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE  27.2  25.0  +2.2 | 27.8  29.0  -1.2 | 43.5  38.0  +5.5
VALENTINE     25.0  23.6  +1.4 | 25.8  27.2  -1.4 | 42.6  36.2  +6.4
BROKEN BOW    28.8  25.5  +3.3 | 26.8  28.0  -1.2 | 43.3  37.7  +5.6
IMPERIAL      30.3  28.3  +2.0 | 31.7  31.5  +0.2 | 45.4  39.8  +5.6


.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE REPUBLICAN RIVER BASIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA WERE RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL...GENERALLY RUNNING IN
THE 5TH TO 24TH PERCENTILES. OTHER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA HAVE SEEN DECREASES IN STREAMFLOW SINCE
FEBRUARY. MANY OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE NOW RUNNING IN THE
8TH TO 25TH PERCENTILES.

GROUNDWATER DEPTHS VARY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
FROM WELL BELOW NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL...HOWEVER THE MAJORITY OF
THE AREA IS SEEING NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL DEPTHS. LOCATIONS WITH
THE LOWEST READINGS ARE BEING MEASURED ACROSS THE REPUBLICAN
RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE VALUES ARE LESS THAN THE
10TH PERCENTILE


.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF THE FIRST WEEK OF APRIL...THE THREAT OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE SPRING MONTHS AS AREA FUELS REMAIN DORMANT
AND PRIME FOR BURNING. LOCAL FIRE MANAGEMENT OFFICERS CONTINUE TO
STRESS THAT ALL NATIVE AND INVASIVE FUELS WOULD CARRY
FIRE...HOWEVER THE GREATEST RISK OF LARGE GROWTH WILL OCCUR IN
THE CURED FINE FUELS.

SEVERAL LARGE FIRES HAVE BEEN NOTED RECENTLY ACROSS THE SANDHILLS
REGION OF NEBRASKA. ANOMALOUSLY WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE
CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE FIRE SPREAD...HOWEVER THE GREATEST RANGE
FIRE GROWTH HAS COME WHEN ONGOING FIRES ARE DRIVEN BY THE PASSAGE
OF A COLD FRONT.

THE INCREASED FIRE THREAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL GREEN UP
OCCURS...BUT EVEN THEN...LARGE FUELS SUCH AS THE PONDEROSA PINES
AND EASTERN RED CEDAR FOUND WITHIN CANYONS AND ALONG THE PINE
RIDGE...MCKELVIE AND NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST WOULD REMAIN PRIME
FOR BURNING. A PROLONGED WET PERIOD WILL BE REQUIRED TO ENTIRELY
ALLEVIATE THE RISK OF EXTREME FIRE SPREAD WITHIN THE LARGER
FUELS.

BOTTOM LINE...AN INCREASED RANGE FIRE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A MAJOR CONCERN UNTIL GREEN UP OCCURS AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS REALIZED. 2015 SO FAR IS EERILY SIMILAR TO 2012
IN TERMS OF FIRE CONCERNS...BUT DRIER.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE
WEATHER WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE
FIRE WEATHER FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF/FIRE


.PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING THE PERIOD FROM APRIL
8TH THROUGH APRIL 12TH CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW
OR NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING THE PERIOD FROM APRIL
10TH THROUGH THE 16TH CALLS FOR HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND WELL BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

THE LATEST ONE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR APRIL CALLS FOR HIGHER CHANCES
FOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND WELL BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

THE 3 MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR APRIL...MAY AND JUNE FOR
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THE 3 MONTH OUTLOOK
FOR PRECIPITATION IS ALSO EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW AND
NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA.


.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE...FIRE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.


.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF THE
MONTH. THE NEXT ISSUANCE WILL BE APRIL 16 2015.

$$

CLB/JWS/MM/JB/SJ





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