Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
070
FNUS73 KLBF 011243
FWSLBF
Spot Forecast for WTREX Niobrara Hazel Rx Burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service North Platte NE
743 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
There will be showers in the vicinity of the burn area for most of the day,
with some thunderstorms as well by late in the day. Winds will be light and
variable early this morning, but will be steadily increasing. Gusts to 25mph
will begin by 11AM with peak gusts close to 30mph by 3PM, then diminishing
this evening.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers late in
the morning. Slight chance of showers late in
the afternoon, then chance of showers late in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to
16 mph late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph shifting to the
southeast 8 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph increasing to 17 to 20
mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87 76 89 89 91 72 83 82 65 79
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............41 44 50 53 54 57 59 58 60 58
RH..............76 73 63 59 57 49 47 47 44 51
20 FT wind dir..S S S S SE SE E SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 7 9 10 9 10 13 14 16 14
20 FT wind gust.8 10 14 14 14 15 17 25 28 26
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S SE SE E SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 5 6 5 6 8 8 10 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 6 8 8 8 9 10 12 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 8 12 13 14 15 16 17 20 17
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 16 mph shifting to the
northeast around 6 mph early in the morning.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 10 mph shifting to the
northeast around 4 mph early in the morning.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the late evening and
overnight, then decreasing to 1 after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 18 mph shifting to the east
around 8 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87 93 96 95 82 90 94 94 91 89 95 93
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
Temp............57 56 52 50 48 47 48 46 45 45 44 44
RH..............53 55 63 71 80 86 86 93 96 96 100 96
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..16 13 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 7 6
20 FT wind gust.24 18 18 16 15 14 15 14 14 14 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E E E E E E E E E NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.10 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.12 11 11 10 9 8 9 8 8 8 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE E E SE SE E E E E
Transp wind spd.17 18 15 13 13 12 12 13 15 13 10 8
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
Slight chance of showers early in the morning,
then chance of showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest 6 to 15 mph in the morning and early
afternoon, then increasing to 16 to 18 mph with
gusts to around 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 11 mph becoming 5 to 10
mph with gusts to around 17 mph in the late
morning and early afternoon, then increasing to
10 to 11 mph with gusts to around 18 mph late
in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the north around
7 mph early in the morning, then shifting to
the northwest 7 to 16 mph early in the morning
increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88 70 68 79 74 57 57 57 48 29 19 18
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............44 42 44 46 50 52 55 57 59 60 61 61
RH..............100 100 96 93 77 71 61 51 44 38 35 32
20 FT wind dir..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 8 10 13 14 15 16 18 18 17
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 14 18 23 25 28 30 30 30
Eye lvl wnd dir.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 5 6 8 8 9 10 11 11 10
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 8 11 14 15 17 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.6 6.2 7.6 8.5 8.6
Transp wind dir.E N NW W NW NW NW NW NW W W W
Transp wind spd.6 7 7 10 13 16 20 22 24 25 25 25
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6
$$
Forecaster...Sporer
Requested by...Lyndsey Lascheck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412746.4/LBF
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lyndsey.lascheck@tnc.org