000
FXUS64 KLCH 131523
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1023 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT GRIDS/FORECASTS IN GOOD SHAPE AS INHERITED WITH JUST MINOR
TWEAKS PRIMARILY TO WINDS/CLOUD COVER BASED ON LATEST
OBSERVATIONS. SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND DRY NRLY FLOW ALOFT BEHIND THE ERN CONUS TROF IS KEEPING
THINGS HIGH AND DRY OVER THE FORECAST AREA...MAIN EXCEPTION BEING
SOME JET CIRRUS OVER THE FAR SERN ZONES. NO UPDATE PLANNED THIS
MORNING.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. VFR TO CONTINUE.
THIS AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013/

DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT OFF TO THE
EAST. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER TODAY
THAN YESTERDAY. IN ADDITION...EAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS MIGRATION OFF TO THE
EAST AND LOOKS TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
THE US BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO WORK ITS WAY UP
THE TEXAS COAST AND INTO OUR REGION. AS A RESULT THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR SOME SHOWERS RETURNING ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE ALOFT BREAKS
DOWN A BIT. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD ON THURSDAY AND THIS
WILL PUSH THE MOISTURE BACK TO THE WEST ENDING THE RAIN THREAT.
OTHERWISE... A VERY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK WILL ALLOW FOR
THE REGION TO DRY OUT FROM THE RAINS OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  82  58  82  63  80 /   0   0  10   0  20
KBPT  82  59  82  63  79 /   0   0  10   0  30
KAEX  83  57  85  60  82 /   0   0  10   0  30
KLFT  82  58  83  62  82 /   0   0  10   0  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$