000
FXUS64 KLCH 142310
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
610 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 00Z TAF ISSUANCE. RADAR DEPICTING A
BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM JUST WEST
OF NEW IBERIA...NORTHWEST TO THE LEESVILLE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A LATE SEASON COOL FRONT ADVANCING SOUTHWEST WITH
THE CONVECTION AND AROUND 10 KNOTS. HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO GROUPS FOR
THUNDER AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AT LCH AND BPT THIS EVENING. VCTS
WILL COVER LFT AND ARA WHERE THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION HAS
MOVED THROUGH...WHILE NO RAINS ARE EXPECTED AT AEX. VFR IS
ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE TO PREVAIL.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013/

DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS MOVING INTO THE NE
SECTIONS OF THE CWA WITH VERY HIGH HEAT INDEXES OCCURRING RIGHT AHEAD
OF THE BOUNDARY. A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IS FILTERING
IN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY, BUT THE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO FARTHER
WEAKEN AND RETURN NORTH SATURDAY. IN THE MEAN TIME, THE SEA BREEZE
IS PUSHING INLAND AND THE FRONT IS DRIFTING SOUTH WITH A VERY HOT,
MOIST, AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES. A MID TO
UPPER LVL RIDGE IS SUPPRESSING ACTIVITY, HOWEVER ISOLD TO SCT
STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITH ONE OR TWO BEING POSSIBLY STRONG TO MAYBE
EVEN SEVERE. WITH THE WEAKENING BOUNDARY AROUND SAT A FEW MORE ISOLD
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE RIDGE WILL NUDGE BACK IN PUSHING THE
BOUNDARY BACK NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH AN
ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY AND LESS OF A CHANCE THROUGH
EARLY IN THE COMING WEEK. THE RIDGE WILL BREAK BACK DOWN BY MID
WEEK WITH A RETURN OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

MARINE...FAIRLY TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. AN
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  94  75  92  75 /  20  20  10  20  10
KBPT  77  94  76  93  75 /  20  20  10  20  10
KAEX  69  96  73  95  73 /  10  10  10  20  10
KLFT  74  94  76  92  74 /  20  20  10  20  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$