Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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905
FXUS64 KLCH 231208
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
708 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017

.AVIATION...Rains have ended across the forecast area with an
upper level disturbance east of the area and a cold front now
pushed south into the gulf waters. Considerable low level
moisture remains in place however with IFR or MVFR ceilings
prevailing. These clouds are expected to raise while thinning or
scattering into VFR as the day progresses. Rain chances return
late that afternoon and through the evening hours as another cold
front advances across the area.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 506 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The region this morning is in between to two different systems.
Storms over the gulf are firing along and just ahead of the first
system. Some of these storms have required Special Marine
Warnings. But this activity will push off to the east and further
away from the region today. While in central Texas a cluster of
storms are marching east and will move through the lakes region of
southeast Texas this morning and into central Louisiana.

Today temps are expected to recover into the upper 70s to near
80. The main driver for the weather over the next several days is
an upper level low over the central US. This system is expected to
push the next front through the area late tonight with more
showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front. Rainfall totals with
this next round are expected to remain below an inch as storms
will move quickly off to the east. Cooler and drier air towards
sunrise on Wednesday with temps falling into the 50s north of the
I-10 corridor and 60s to the south. This is only a quick taste of
cooler air as winds will swing back to the south on Thursday. This
will help to hold overnight temperatures on Friday morning near
70 with afternoon highs near 90. Ridging aloft will put the region
into a brief spell were storms are not expected and that will be
the good news for most of the weekend. But the low moves off to
the east and we are looking more storms on Sunday ahead of still
another front that will push through the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  78  58  76  54 /  40  60  10   0
LCH  80  61  79  59 /  40  60  10   0
LFT  82  65  78  59 /  40  50  10   0
BPT  83  59  81  61 /  40  60  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Exercise Caution until 7 AM CDT this morning for
     GMZ452-455-472-475.

&&

$$


AVIATION...23



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