Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
241 PM CST Sat Jan 6 2018

...A rainy pattern developing for Sunday night and Monday...

A strong upper level disturbance is expected to move out of the
central Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley. A return of gulf
moisture will result in widespread rainfall developing across a
large portion of southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.

At this time, it appears the majority of the rainfall will occur
beginning late Sunday evening and continuing through Monday night
before tapering from west to east early Tuesday morning. During
that period, rainfall accumulations could averge between 2 and 4
inches. This will cause area rivers and streams to swell, with
some possibly reaching minor flood levels by Tuesday morning.

Currently, area rivers are at base flow levels and can handle some
rainfall runoff. Tree dormancy, lower soil temperatures and
reduced sunlight can contribute to more runoff and faster river
rises. Conditions will continue to be monitored and a flood watch
may be issued at a later time should forecast confidence increase
on rainfall amounts and areas of greater risk. In the meantime,
pay attention to the latest forecasts, possible watches and
warnings in coming days, particularly if you live near a river or
creek.

$$

24/RR



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