Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
AXUS74 KLUB 281956
DGTLUB
TXC017-045-069-075-079-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-
279-303-305-345-369-433-437-445-501-131715-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
200 PM CST THU FEB 28 2014

...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AS SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS
PERSISTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS...

SYNOPSIS...
ACROSS WEST TEXAS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN FIRMLY IN PLACE WITH
FEW SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES.  ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND
ROLLING PLAINS...SEVERE DROUGHT LEVELS OR WORSE PERSIST WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF BAILEY AND GARZA COUNTIES...WHICH ARE CURRENTLY
CATEGORIZED AS EXPERIENCING ONLY MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  AT
THE PRESENT TIME...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS...
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AND THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS ARE
EXPERIENCING THE MOST SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WITH CONDITIONS
CATEGORIZED AS BEING EXTREME.  A SMALL AREA OF EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
WAS NOTED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN BRISCOE COUNTY.  THE LACK OF
IMPROVEMENT IS MOSTLY DUE TO A DEARTH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM WHICH PRODUCED AS MUCH AS ONE FOOT OF SNOW ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS EARLY IN THE MONTH.  WHILE THIS SNOW WAS
VERY BENEFICIAL TO THESE AREAS...IT WAS NOT ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY
IMPROVE LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS BY ITSELF.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUED TO REDUCE
SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS.  FARMERS CONTINUED PREPARING FOR SPRING
PLANTING AND REPORTED WINTER WHEAT WAS IN FAIR CONDITION AND IN NEED
OF RAIN.

THE ROLLING PLAINS ALSO SAW CONTINUED PREPARATION OF FIELDS FOR THE
UPCOMING CROP YEAR.  REPORTS OF HIGHLY VARIABLE SOIL MOISTURE
AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAIN
AND SNOW VERSUS THOSE THAT DID NOT.  NON-TILL FIELDS HAD MOISTURE TO
FOUR FEET DEEP WHILE OTHER PASTURES HAD MOISTURE DEPTH ONLY TO 6
INCHES.  ALTHOUGH RAIN AND SNOW HELPED WINTER WHEAT
CROPS...RECENT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE SLOWED GROWTH.
LIVESTOCK WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION BUT LACK OF GROWTH ON
WINTER WHEAT FIELDS HAS RESULTED IN SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING TO
CONTINUE.  PONDS AND STOCK WATER TANKS ARE IN NEED OF RUNOFF TO
REPLENISH SURFACE WATER LEVELS.


FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
REGIONAL FUELS CONTINUE TO TREND MORE VOLATILE FOR WILDFIRE
ACTIVITY. ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES THROUGHOUT THE REGION
EXPERIENCED A SHARP INCREASE FOLLOWING A PERIOD OF UNSEASONABLE COLD
AND INTERMITTENT MOISTURE EARLIER THIS MONTH. ERC VALUES CURRENTLY
RANGE FROM AROUND 55 IN THE ROLLING PLAINS TO 60 WEST OF THE CAPROCK
ESCARPMENT. THESE VALUES ARE VERY NEAR THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR
HISTORICAL WILDFIRE ACTIVITY AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THIS
TERRITORY THROUGH EARLY MARCH AS DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO PERSIST.

AS WE TRANSITION INTO SPRING...THE FREQUENCY FOR WARM AND WINDY
PATTERNS INCREASES ACROSS WEST TEXAS. APPRECIABLE MOISTURE APPEARS
UNLIKELY FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS...SO REGIONAL FUELS WILL REMAIN
PRIMED FOR WILDFIRE ACTIVITY AND ANY GREENING OF FUELS WILL LIKELY
BE MINIMAL AND LOCALIZED.

OUT OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NWS LUBBOCK AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY...THE FOLLOWING EIGHT COUNTIES ARE UNDER BURN BANS...
PARMER...CASTRO...CHILDRESS...FLOYD...COCHRAN...KING...TERRY...AND
GARZA.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
FEBRUARY REMAINED LARGELY FREE OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF FEBRUARY 2ND...WHEN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ROLLING
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS RECEIVED AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES OF
SNOW IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD.  WHILE THIS WAS CERTAINLY A SIGNIFICANT
EVENT AND VERY BENEFICIAL TO THOSE WHO SAW THE HEAVIEST SNOW... THE
LACK OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE MONTH
PREVENTED THE REGION FROM REALIZING ANY MAJOR IMPROVEMENTS TO
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  OTHERWISE...FEBRUARY WAS A MONTH OF WILDLY
VARYING TEMPERATURES...AS THE REGION ALTERNATED BETWEEN VERY WARM
PERIODS REACHING INTO THE 70S AND 80S...AND ARCTIC COLD FRONTS
BRINGING MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES INTO THE TEENS AND 20S.  IN THE END...
DAILY TEMPERATURES AT THE LUBBOCK AIRPORT WERE APPROXIMATELY TWO
DEGREES BELOW THE 100 YEAR AVERAGE FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY.  IN
CHILDRESS...TEMPERATURES WERE MARKEDLY COOLER RESULTING FROM A
PROLIFERATION OF BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS...WITH AVERAGE DAILY
TEMPERATURES APPROXIMATELY 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MONTH OF
FEBRUARY.  INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH...BOTH THE LUBBOCK AND CHILDRESS
AIRPORT STATIONS RECORDED ONE DAILY RECORD HIGH AND A RECORD LOW
DURING THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY...FURTHER EVIDENCE OF A HIGHLY VARIABLE
MONTH OF TEMPERATURES.


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BREEZY AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY...BUT WILL ABRUPTLY COME TO AN END BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND COURTESY OF THE INTRUSION OF A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR A LIGHT WINTRY MIX DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT ON
SUNDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS. THROUGH NEXT WEEK...DESPITE THE
PASSAGE OF A COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES AND ASSOCIATED ANEMIC COLD
FRONTS...PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK TO BE MINIMAL. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK...FOLLOWED BY THE RETURN OF SURFACE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND THUS A
GRADUAL WARMUP MID-LATE WEEK.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CALLED
FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW
NORMAL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. BEYOND THIS TIME FRAME...THE ONE
MONTH OUTLOOK FAVORED EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL...ABOVE NORMAL
OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
AREA RESERVOIRS LEVELS GENERALLY TRENDED DOWNWARD SOMEWHAT OVER THE
PAST MONTH THOUGH WHITE RIVER LAKE SAW A MODEST RISE THANKS IN PART
TO A SNOWFALL EVENT EARLIER THIS MONTH.  THANKS TO THE COOLER
CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE PAST MONTH...EVAPORATION RATES WERE
SLIGHTLY EASED.  SINCE SEPTEMBER 2013...LAKE LEVELS HAVE DECREASED
BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 FEET.


THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON FEBRUARY 28TH:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3002.6 -0.3    53       5
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2338.3  0.1    12       0
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2205.5 -0.2    63      65


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON MARCH 27TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$










USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.