Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1100 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

...NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY IMPROVE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
A TREND OF WET WEATHER FROM MAY AND JUNE CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF JULY BUT DRIED OUT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE MONTH. MOST
AREAS SAW AT OR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE SECOND AND THIRD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WAS
THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WHERE LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WAS
OBSERVED. THIS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
MANY AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS...AND ESPECIALLY
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. SEVERE DROUGHT OR CATEGORY
TWO CONTINUED TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS WHILE THE ROLLING
PLAINS MOSTLY SAW SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT OR CATEGORY THREE
CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF COTTLE AND KING COUNTIES REMAINED IN
EXCEPTIONAL OR CATEGORY FOUR DROUGHT. A LARGE IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CONDITIONS IMPROVED TO
CATEGORY ONE OR MODERATE DROUGHT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT OCCURRED ON THE SECOND AND
THIRD OF JULY WHICH BROUGHT BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN.
FOR THE YEAR...THE SOUTH PLAINS HAS SEEN PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 100
AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WHILE THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE HAS
RECORDED NEARLY 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE ROLLING PLAINS CONTINUED
TO SHOW A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE WITH ANNUAL PRECIPITATION VALUES
BETWEEN 50 AND 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH ISOLATED AREAS NEAR NORMAL.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER THAT RETURNED DURING JULY CAUSED PRODUCERS
TO BEGIN IRRIGATING AGAIN. COTTON WAS SQUARING AND FRUITING...BUT
MOISTURE IS NEEDED FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE LACK OF MOISTURE
THIS MONTH HAD PUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MUCH OF THE COTTON CROP
BEHIND SCHEDULE...DESPITE THE NEEDED WARM TEMPERATURES. NO
SIGNIFICANT PEST OR FUNGAL INFESTATIONS WERE NOTED IN THE
COTTON...PEANUT... SORGHUM...AND CORN CROPS. PASTURES AND
RANGELAND WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION...AND AS A RESULT
LIVESTOCK WERE IN GOOD CONDITION. HOWEVER...FALL ARMYWORM FEEDING
WAS WIDESPREAD.

FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
GREEN FUELS AND NEAR NORMAL MOISTURE HAVE KEPT FIRE CONCERNS LOW
THROUGH MID SUMMER...ALTHOUGH SOME MODEST CURING OF GRASSES MAY HAVE
OCCURRED WITH THE RECENT HOT AND DRY SPELL. LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH
PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS...THUS KEEPING BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR
11 OF THE 24 COUNTIES IN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK COUNTY
WARNING AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK SMALL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE FIRST WEEK OF AUGUST...BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT BETTER RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TOWARD THE END OF THAT WEEK. REGARDLESS...
WINDS...TEMPERATURE...AND HUMIDITY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUGGEST
FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOST AREAS RECORDED NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR
THE MONTH OF JULY AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LUBBOCK
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED 2.64 INCHES OF RAIN...0.79 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 79.2
DEGREES...0.8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHILDRESS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH...0.75 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...WITH AN AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OF 80.7 DEGREES...2.8
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SOME AREAS RECEIVED OVER THREE INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH THE HIGHEST REPORTED RAINFALL OCCURRING IN HART TX
WHICH WAS 5.35 INCHES AS REPORTED BY THE HART COOP OBSERVER.
DESPITE THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED...LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN
MADE TO AREA DROUGHT CATEGORIES. NOTED IMPROVEMENTS ARE IN THE
NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH
WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D2 TO D1...AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE WHICH WAS DOWNGRADED FROM D3 TO D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN THE MONTH OF AUGUST
WITH MOIST GROUNDS AND A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE FIRST FEW WEEKS OF
AUGUST WITH TROUGHING CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING AT OR BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF AUGUST. PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE
MORE MIXED FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. NORTH AMERICAN MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL PERSIST BUT WILL LIKELY BE LESS PLENTIFUL WITH A WEAKER UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAY SEND A COLD FRONT
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WHICH MAY GARNER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THE FIRST WEEK IN AUGUST. PRECIPITATION OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO APPEARS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AUGUST...BUT
REMAINS UNCLEAR ON HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT THIS WILL HAVE ON WEST
TEXAS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
ALL RESERVOIRS DID SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT AT THE END OF JUNE AND THE
BEGINNING OF JULY...BUT WHITE RIVER LAKE WAS THE ONLY RESERVOIR TO
SHOW AN OVERALL IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF JULY WITH LAKE LEVELS
RISING NEARLY 2.5 FEET. THIS WAS MOSTLY DUE TO RAIN NOT BEING AS WIDE
SPREAD DURING THE MONTH OF JULY AS IT WAS DURING JUNE AS WELL AS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MIDDLE OF
JULY. DESPITE THIS DRY PERIOD ALL RESERVOIRS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO
PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY.

THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED ON JULY 31ST:

RESERVOIR SUMMARY CONSERVATION POOL 4-WEEK MAXIMUM PERCENT OF
                         POOL TODAY CHANGE DEPTH  CONSERVATION
                                           (FEET) CAPACITY
MACKENZIE LAKE           3100 3010.5 -0.5    60       8
WHITE RIVER LAKE         2370 2342.9 +2.4    16       4
LAKE ALAN HENRY          2220 2202.7 -1.2    60      59

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 28TH OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU/

NWS PRECIPITATION:
HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

USGS:
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

USDA:
HTTP://WWW.USDA.GOV/OCE/WEATHER/

TEXAS AGRILIFE EXTENSION AGENCY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT:
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...
THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...
THE TEXAS TECH/WEST TEXAS MESONET...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2579 SOUTH LOOP 289 SUITE 100
LUBBOCK TEXAS  79423
PHONE: 806-745-4260
SR-LUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$














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