Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS54 KLUB 101021
FWFLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS AREA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS AND NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS STRONGER WIND SPEEDS
SHIFT FROM ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE WARNING AREA. THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR WEST THE STRONGER WIND SPEEDS WILL PUSH BUT
ENOUGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE PATH OF STRONGER WINDS SHIFTING EAST
THROUGH THE DAY TO LIMIT THE RED FLAG WARNING TO THE CURRENT AREA.
TIME FRAME FOR STRONGEST WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO BE FAIRLY NARROW WITH
THE 1 PM TO 5 PM WINDOW EXPECTED TO HAVE STRONGEST SUSTAINED SPEEDS.
WEST WIND WILL HELP TO DRY THE ATMOSPHERE OUT RESULTING IN MINIMUM
RH VALUES ACROSS THE PLANNING AREA TO BE BETWEEN 11 TO 15 PERCENT...
AND FUELS REMAIN DRY AND CURED ACROSS THE REGION.  ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER WILL EXIST OUTSIDE OF THE RED FLAG WARNING AREA.  WIND SPEEDS
WILL QUICKLY DECREASE AFTER SUNSET WITH VERY SLOW RH RECOVERY THANKS
TO DRY AIR ACROSS THE REGION.  IF ANY FIRES DO START...A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY MORNING
SHIFTING THE WIND TO THE NORTH ALONG A FRIONA TO CHILDRESS LINE
AROUND 3 AM...NEAR LUBBOCK BY 6 AM...AND SOUTH OF THE PLANNING AREA
BY 8 AM.  NORTH WIND AROUND 10 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.

TXZ021-022-027-028-110100-
PARMER-CASTRO-BAILEY-LAMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT...
HART...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             74 (+10)      30 (+4)           65
RH % (24H TREND)              11 (-2)     66 (-18)           18
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W 10 G21                      N  9
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)          W 18 G26    SW  9 G18        NE  6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           4845                      3810
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 19                     NE  5
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ023-024-029-030-110100-
SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALE-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...
PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             77 (+12)      31 (+2)           63
RH % (24H TREND)              11 (-4)     69 (-15)           20
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W 10 G21                      N  8
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)          W 18 G26        SW 10        NE  7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           5679                      3292
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 21                     NE  7
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ025-026-031-032-110100-
HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR...
ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             80 (+10)      36 (+4)           65
RH % (24H TREND)              10 (-5)     67 (-25)           25
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W  8 G18                      N  9
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)              W 18        SW 10        NE  7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           6877                      3343
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 19                     NE  9
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ036>038-110100-
CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...SPUR...
DICKENS...DUMONT...FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             80 (+11)      35 (+2)           65
RH % (24H TREND)              10 (-4)     61 (-31)           21
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W  8 G18                      N 11
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)         SW 17 G25        SW 10        NE  9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           6373                      3226
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 18                     NE 12
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ033-034-039-040-110100-
COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-YOAKUM-TERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORTON...LEVELLAND...DENVER CITY...
PLAINS...BROWNFIELD
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             75 (+11)      31 (+4)           67
RH % (24H TREND)              10 (-4)     61 (-23)           17
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W  8 G17                      N 10
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)         SW 15 G23    SW  9 G17        NE  7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           4880                      3582
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 16                     NE  6
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ035-041-042-110100-
LUBBOCK-LYNN-GARZA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUBBOCK...TAHOKA...O`DONNELL...GRAHAM...
POST
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)             78 (+11)       33 (0)           67
RH % (24H TREND)               9 (-4)     64 (-18)           19
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)          W  8 G17                      N 10
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)         SW 16 G24    SW 10 G17        NE  8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           5840                      2984
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 16                     NE  8
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TXZ043-044-110100-
KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
421 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)                   0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)              80 (+9)      38 (+4)           66
RH % (24H TREND)               9 (-5)     55 (-30)           22
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)             SW  7                  N  9 G17
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)             SW 14        SW  9        NE  9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)           5922                      3064
TRANSPORT WND (KTS)              W 15                     NE 12
LAL                                 1            1            1
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$


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