Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS74 KLUB 171515
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MEADOW BROOK BURN...LUBBOCK FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
915 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOL AND DRY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW CLOUDS AND LIGHT NORTH BREEZE. SHOWER
CHANCES WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING AS AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO PASSES OVER THE REGION. ISOLATED THUNDER
ALSO POSSIBLE. WINDS MAY BECOME A BIT ERRATIC DURING THE SHOWERS LATER
TODAY BUT WILL BECOME VARIABLE UNDER 5 MPH LATER TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........46     52     66     74
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............36     44     48     49
RH..............85     70     63     61
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 5    NE 4   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........81     89     92     92     81     74
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............47     42     40     39     37     36
RH..............65     82     92     96     100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   S 4    S 3    SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........65     61     52     32     31     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41     42     46     53     57     58
RH..............85     82     73     64     55     51
20 FT WIND......SW 4   SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ALDRICH
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG GANNONJ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700468.0/LUB


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.