Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KLUB 261136
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR 2015 NORTH MIDDLE MOP UP...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
636 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL HAVE A BRIEF BREEZY PERIOD AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING...THEN WILL SUBSIDE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE DAY...AND
SHOULD BECOME VERY LIGHT BY AROUND 23 UTC/6 PM CDT. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES OF 75 TO 80 PERCENT AROUND SUNRISE WILL FALL TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES WARM FROM THE UPPER 30S TO THE
60S. THE WIND WILL COME AROUND TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THIS
EVENING WHILE REMAINING LIGHT. VERY LITTLE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-8100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........15     14     12     11     10     8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43     47     54     60     64     65
RH..............65     48     35     26     21     19
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 10   N 10   N 8    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 8
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........7      8      14     19     20     17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65     61     55     52     49     47
RH..............19     22     28     33     38     41
20 FT WIND......NW 4   W 4    S 5    SW 6   SW 6   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      6      6      6      6

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO
                    6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........15     13     10     14     14     9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46     47     56     65     72     76
RH..............43     49     38     27     20     18
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 5   N 5    E 4    E 4    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...CONDER
REQUESTED BY...DERRICK HOLDSTOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.2015N.01/LUB


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