Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KLUB 272114
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MATADOR WMA BRUSH PILES...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
314 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE THREAT FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM ALOFT TONIGHT. LIGHT AMOUNTS OF
FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL MOVE NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY...BRINGING LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE BURN SITE. EAST WINDS
OF NEAR 10 MPH TODAY WILL VEER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AND REMAIN
NEAR OR JUST ABOVE 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH
THE SNOWPACK AND HIGH AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...LEADING TO VERY POOR
BURNING CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL FLURRIES IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE OCNL   OCNL   OCNL
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............21     22     23     23     23
RH..............92     84     72     78     78
20 FT WIND......NE 5   E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY
                    LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   FZDRZL FZDRZL FZDRZL
TSTM COV........
TEMP............23     22     22     22     22     22
RH..............78     84     83     83     84     85
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
                    FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    99     97     96     97     99
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............21     23     28     32     34     35
RH..............88     88     78     69     69     72
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...GUSEMAN
REQUESTED BY...DERRICK HOLDSTOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150227.MATAD.01/LUB


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