Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000 FXUS61 KLWX 020756 AFDLWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 356 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM DELAWARE TO GEORGIA. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND REMAIN NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY/... SFC ANLYS SHOWS A WK BNDRY XTNDG FM SRN NJ...TRACKING E OF THE BLU RDG/ APLCHNS SWD TO GA. THIS WL KEEP THE MID ATLC IN CLDS TDA...BUT FOR THE TIME BEING THE 1ST ROUND OF MDT/HVY RA HAS MOVED TO THE N. PDS OF RA WL BE PSBL TDA...BUT THANKFULLY THESE SHOULD BE LGT GIVEN THE FACT THAT BOTH DCA AND BWI BROKE RAFL RECORDS FOR 6/1. AFTR A PD OF VERY WARM TEMPS TDA SHOULD BE BLO NRML W/ HIGHS IN THE U60S/L70S. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/... TNGT AGN LOOKS WET W/ THE BNDRY RMNG OVR THE MID ATLC. HIGH PRES OVR NEW ENGLAND WL CREATE SOMEWHAT OF A DAMMING SITU ACROSS THE MID ATLC. ERLY LO LVL FLOW WL FUNNEL MOISTURE FM THE ATLC. HV INCRSD POPS TO CAT E OF THE MTNS. IT IS CERTAINLY PSBL THAT A FLD OR FLASH FLD WATCH WL NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR LATE TNGT/WED. LOWS RANGING FM THE M50S TO THE LM60S. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
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A CUT-OFF MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY WORK EASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN SPOTS WITH RESPECT TO THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH THE BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY. RAIN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...POSSIBLY SLOWING DOWN IN ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM EACH PERIOD. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL STALL MONDAY...ALLOWING FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS TO DEVELOP IN THE REGION.
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&& .AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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NEXT 24 HRS OF THE FCST WL FEATURE XTNSV CLD CVR...MOST LKLY IN THE MVFR RNG BUT PSBLY DROPPING LOWER. PDS OF RA AREA PSBL TDA... W/ INCRSG LIKELIHOOD LATE TNGT.
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&& .MARINE... NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC DURING THIS TIME. && .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ530>534-537>543. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ536. && $$ PRODUCTS...WOODY!/LFR

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