Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 220343
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
943 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Latest obs and model data suggest overnight mins can be lowered a
notch. We`ll also adjust other parameters as necessary. Updates
out shortly.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 222 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The disturbance that brought the freezing rain to the Permian Basin
this morning had moved east into central Texas. In its wake
southwesterly flow aloft will continue above the cold dome
overnight and Thursday morning. Low level moisture trapped in the
lower layers in the inversion could generate some patchy freezing
drizzle, patchy freezing fog tonight and Thursday morning but ice
accumulations are not expected with little forcing. Have cancelled
the Winter Weather Advisory for the Permian Basin. High
temperatures will attempt a rebound Thursday afternoon as low
clouds dissipate and the surface high moves east of the area but
temperatures will still be well below normal.

Southwesterly flow aloft will continue Friday ahead of the next
Pacific storm system. Above normal temperatures are expected as a
new lee surface low/dry line forms ahead of the upper system. As
the upper storm system ejects across Rockies Friday night there
will be a slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms
across the extreme eastern Permian Basin ahead of the dryline.

Breezy to windy conditions with seasonal temperatures are
expected this weekend and early next week behind this system
in zonal flow aloft.

Another Pacific storm system looks in the offing by next Tuesday
or Wednesday. Still to early to tell but looks more like it will
be a wind producer than generate precipitation.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     27  52  37  64 /  10  10   0  10
Carlsbad                       27  61  33  70 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         35  61  45  72 /  10  10   0  10
Fort Stockton                  29  60  39  72 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 28  54  39  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          24  57  33  67 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          27  65  33  70 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           28  55  38  66 /  10  10   0  10
Odessa                         27  55  38  66 /  10  10   0  10
Wink                           29  59  35  69 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

80/44



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