Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 281111
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
611 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light southeast winds expected the next 24
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 215 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure centered across the southern high plains
and southern rockies will remain nearly stationary and be the
main weather influence through Saturday night. This should limit
afternoon and evening thunderstorm activity (isolated to widely
scattered) to mainly the orographically favored Guadalupe and
Davis Mountains closest to a persistent weak surface trough in
very intense heating. High temperatures are expected to be a few
degrees above normal with the upper ridge dominating through
Saturday.

The chance for more widespread thunderstorm activity will
begin Sunday and continue through much of the next work week
across west Texas and southeast New Mexico. The upper level high
pressure center is forecast to slowly shift westward next week
toward the Rockies resulting in an unstable north to northwest
flow aloft regime over the forecast area. Periodic disturbances
within this flow will combine with oscillating weak boundaries and
surface low pressure convergence areas to produce increasing
chances for thunderstorms and cooler temperatures across west
Texas and southeast New Mexico.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     99  74 100  74 /   0   0  10  10
Carlsbad                      100  72  99  72 /  10  10   0   0
Dryden                         99  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  98  73  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 89  69  90  68 /  10  10  10   0
Hobbs                          96  70  96  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          90  64  91  64 /  10  10  20  10
Midland Intl Airport           99  74  99  74 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         99  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                          102  73 102  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10


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