Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 051845
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
145 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Sub tropical ridge will remain over the area through the week.  The
center of the upper high was right over the area this morning and
will drift down to Mexico and wander around there for the next
couple of days.  A closed low will move ashore the CA coast by the
middle of the week but is not expected to displace the ridge.

Did have low clouds over parts of the area this morning that helped
o keep overnight temps elevated.  May see some stratus try to creep
into the east again tomorrow morning and expecting a continuation of
warmer lows.  High temperatures will remain below normal through
most of the week then begin increasing toward next weekend.  Still
looking at a front drifting down into the area early Tuesday... but
there is some disagreement as to how far south into the CWA it will
make it.  It may be determined by whether or not rain cooled air
pushes it southward.

Most of the storms yesterday were confined to over and adjacent to
the the higher elevations.  Scattered showers and storms have
already developed west of a Carlsbad to Fort Stockton line... these
should continue into the evening.  Storms chances begin to increase
Monday with the best chance being Monday night and Tuesday.  Expect
showers and storms to develop along the front and may also receive
some upper support as a shortwave comes down over the top of the
ridge.  Locally heavy rain possible.  Rain chances continue into
Wednesday then slowly decrease through the extended mainly being
confined to the higher elevations but may receive some support from
approaching West Coast low.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  74  94  73  84  /  10  20  50  60
CARLSBAD NM                    72  96  71  83  /  30  40  50  30
DRYDEN TX                      73  93  74  88  /  30  40  30  30
FORT STOCKTON TX               70  93  70  86  /  30  40  50  50
GUADALUPE PASS TX              67  87  66  74  /  50  30  30  30
HOBBS NM                       68  92  66  81  /  10  40  60  40
MARFA TX                       65  86  66  81  /  40  50  50  40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        72  93  72  85  /  10  30  50  60
ODESSA TX                      73  93  72  85  /  10  30  50  50
WINK TX                        72  97  72  88  /  20  40  50  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/72


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