Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 212348
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
648 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
Clear skies and light winds will continue through sunset. A cold
front will enter the region after 03Z. Winds will shift around to
the NNE and become gusty overnight. MVFR ceilings are expected
behind the front with brief IFR conditions possible. After sunrise,
winds should slacken and ceilings will gradually return to VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 445 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017/

UPDATE...
Updated forecast for first period wind.

DISCUSSION...
Wind speeds looking a little higher tonight with fropa. Have
updated forecast to increase wind speeds tonight to the 20 to 30
mph range generally north of the Pecos River.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 152 PM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper trough coming out of the Rockies will swing across the
Southern Plains later today with the secondary portion of the
trough swinging down on Saturday. After the trough moves off a
high pressure ridge builds in from the west. The next upper
trough moves ashore early Sunday with a stronger trough expected
Wednesday.

The trough will push a strong cold front southward that will blow
into the area this evening and pass through the region overnight
and early Saturday morning. The front will be accompanied by a
gusty N/NE wind. This will bring a sudden change to the recent
unseasonably warm wx. Highs Saturday will only be in the 60s and
70s... with readings Sunday in the 70s areawide but the cool down
will be short lived.  By Sunday afternoon the wind will start to
come back around to the south as a new leeside trough develops.
Temperatures climb back into the 90s early next week under upper
ridge. Have upgraded High Wind Watch tonight for GDP to a warning
as high wind conditions expected as the cold front is channeled
through the pass.

Low clouds expected to move down behind the front. Some models do
try to develop some light precip tonight along the front as it
crosses the Pecos and hits the higher elevations. Will through in
mention of isolated showers tonight but not expecting much. Rest
of the forecast looks dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     46  66  44  71 /  10   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       49  69  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         59  73  52  76 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  51  68  47  74 /  10  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 46  64  44  68 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          43  65  41  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          45  69  39  72 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           48  67  45  72 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         48  67  45  72 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           52  69  47  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM MDT Saturday for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

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