Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
FXUS64 KMAF 081511
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
904 AM CST Sun Dec 8 2013
Conditions continue to improve from south to north this morning
however some locations across southeast New Mexico and west Texas
continue to report areas of freezing fog. Sent a quick update to
adjust the areas highlighting freezing fog and extend it through
noon CST. Went ahead and let the Winter Weather Advisory expire at
15Z and will handle the rest of the morning with a Special Weather
Statement for those areas still being affected by fog and continued
icy roads. Otherwise, no other adjustments were needed and updates
will be sent shortly.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 503 AM CST Sun Dec 8 2013/
See aviation discussion below.
VFR conditions are currently spreading north across the Trans
Pecos region from KPEQ and KFST. Expecting MVFR and IFR conditions
at the other sites to become VFR by 15Z. VFR conditions are
expected at all the terminals after 15z today through at least
this evening. Another cold front is expected to plunge south later
in the TAF period and may bring a return to MVFR or IFR conditions
towards 12z Tuesday. Later shifts will need to monitor.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 AM CST Sun Dec 8 2013/
The latest satellite this morning is showing clearing skies moving
north as low level wind flow shifts from the southeast to the
southwest. However moisture will hold into southeast New Mexico
and the Permian Basin for several more hours, during which patchy
dense freezing fog is possible which leave slick spots on area
roads. The southwest flow will increasingly favor dense fog on the
western slopes of the Davis Mountains, particularly the Marfa
Plateau near Marfa which is now included in the advisory. The
eastern slopes and lower elevations in the lee of the Davis Mtns.
will become more unfavorable for dense fog and have thus cancelled
the advisory in Pecos County while continuing it for the other
Finally temps warm above freezing with the help of westerly flow
but an upper disturbance moving through the major shortwave trough
will bring another cold front tonight dropping temps once again. A
second disturbance quickly follows tomorrow night bringing a
slight chance for light snow to southeast NM and the northwest
Permian Basin, any accumulations would be little more than a
The E Pac ridge finally breaks down and begins moving east by mid
week allowing for a slow warm up. There may be another front on
Friday or Saturday, but with the upper flow less amplified the
any fropa will be weaker than the ones seen recently.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX 44 18 30 20 / 0 0 10 20
BIG SPRING TX 45 19 30 20 / 0 0 0 10
CARLSBAD NM 50 27 41 27 / 0 0 0 20
DRYDEN TX 52 30 50 30 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON TX 58 27 46 24 / 0 0 0 10
GUADALUPE PASS TX 47 25 42 23 / 0 0 0 20
HOBBS NM 45 21 32 21 / 0 0 10 20
MARFA TX 56 26 52 24 / 0 0 0 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 46 18 32 20 / 0 0 0 10
ODESSA TX 46 20 33 20 / 0 0 0 10
WINK TX 50 25 39 23 / 0 0 0 10
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING until 5 PM MST this afternoon FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.