Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 190817
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
317 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Looking like a carbon copy of yesterday as the upper ridge
strengthens to our north and moisture remains entrenched across the
higher terrain. Temperatures will stay near normal today in our
area, but you don`t have to go too far north to see triple digits
closer to the center of the upper high. Scattered showers and storms
will develop again by afternoon west of the Pecos River where lower
mid level heights are to be had. Locally heavy rain is possible as
PWATs remain high in these areas. This pattern will likely continue
through the end of the work week with gradually increasing
temperatures each day.

The upper ridge shifts slightly to the east late in the week
allowing a mid level disturbance to move west across TX. This system
will reach W TX by Saturday and will act to lower heights
significantly from what we are seeing now. This is looking similar
to what we saw last weekend even though models are showing very low
QPF amounts. Strong afternoon heating and enough atmospheric
moisture should produce at least isolated showers and storms much
of the weekend.

Early next week, the ridge looks to reestablish itself over TX,
but in a weaker state. Nonetheless, precipitation chances will
wane and temperatures will stay near to above normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     95  73  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       96  70  97  71 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         91  74  97  74 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  93  71  96  72 /  10  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 85  66  86  67 /  30  20  20  20
Hobbs                          93  68  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          86  62  87  64 /  30  20  20  10
Midland Intl Airport           95  72  97  73 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         95  72  97  73 /  10   0   0   0
Wink                           96  72  98  73 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

49/29



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