Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 192333
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
633 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through the period. South winds will shift
from the northeast 12-18Z as a weak cold front moves into the
area.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridging remains in place today with sunny skies and high
temperatures expected to reach 90 most places and near/exceeding 100
along the Rio Grande. The upper ridge will flatten to the south
Thursday as a weak upper wave swings through the north Central
Plains. A cold front will make a run for the area Thursday and it
could make it to near Interstate 20 before stalling around mid day.
Latest MET guidance is much cooler across the northern half of the
CWA while the MAV has only cooled high temps by a couple of degrees.
The front looks to be fairly shallow so think cool surface temps
would mix out fairly quickly through the afternoon so will lean
toward the warmer MAV for now. Areas south of I-20 can expect high
temperatures in the 90s. Thursday looks dry for the most part
however a few showers/storms could affect the far NE Permian Basin
Thursday evening.

A stronger upper trough will swing through N OK/S KS Friday,
resulting in breezy conditions Friday afternoon across SE NM and
much of W TX. Friday will be warm with highs in the upper 80s to
low/mid 90s. A strong cold front pushes south through region Friday
night, cooling temperatures down for the weekend! Friday night
through Saturday morning will be fairly windy/cool behind the front
and a light jacket may be warranted for those with Saturday morning
outdoor activities planned. Moisture looks limited with the frontal
passage so will keep the forecast dry. High temperatures generally
in the 70s can be expected through the weekend with early morning
lows in the 40s/50s Saturday and even cooler Sunday morning with
lows in the 40s most locations. By Monday, weak upper ridging builds
overhead and southerly flow returns at the surface. As such, a
warming trend through mid week can be expected with no good chances
for rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  87  63  91 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       59  87  56  90 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         63  92  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  62  94  63  94 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 62  84  58  84 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          57  83  55  87 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          47  88  48  88 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           63  90  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         63  90  62  92 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           60  92  59  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10


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