Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 201032
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
532 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail today.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017/

Looks like a fairly quiet weather pattern the next few days due to
a stable and nearly stationary upper ridge across the desert
southwest states. There still could be a stray thunderstorm in the
Davis Mountains or the Marfa Plateau this afternoon due to very
intense heating of the higher terrain and upslope flow with
subdued 700 millibar temperatures. More isolated storms will be
possible Wednesday afternoon and evening across southeast New
Mexico and portions of the extreme northwest Permian Basin as
convection attempts to glide into these areas from the New Mexico
mountains in the northerly flow aloft.

Thursday and Friday will be the warmest days this week and later
shifts will need to monitor the potential for Heat Advisories
across portions of southeast New Mexico and the Big Bend per GFS,
ECMWF 850 millibar temperature forecasts. In addition an inverted
surface trough could spark isolated high based thunderstorms
across the region Friday in the very intense heating.

This weekend will feature the potential for increasing precipitation
chances and cooler temperatures as a cold front moves into the
forecast area. The timing of the arrival of the front is still
uncertain with the GFS a day earlier than the ECMWF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     96  71  99  70 /  10   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       99  72 102  72 /   0  10  10  10
Dryden                        101  74 103  73 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  97  72 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 91  70  95  72 /   0  10  10  10
Hobbs                          96  69  98  69 /   0  10  10  10
Marfa                          92  62  95  64 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           97  73  99  72 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         97  73  99  72 /  10   0  10  10
Wink                           99  72 103  71 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$


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