Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42

000
FXUS64 KMAF 180513
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1213 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Scattered, very light showers continue across the Permian Basin this
afternoon with no more than a few hundredths of an inch being
reported. Temperatures remain well below normal with most locations
in the 50s. A bit a clearing has allowed for much warmer conditions
near the Rio Grande where temperatures are in the 70s currently. A
reinforcing shot of northeast winds and cooler air will arrive
tonight helping to push better moisture into the higher terrain.
This will also allow temperatures to cool a few more degrees tonight
mostly into the low to mid 40s. Slightly drier air along with a peak
or two of sunshine north and east of the Pecos River will allow
temperatures to rebound to near 60 degrees Monday afternoon. Lift
associated with an upper low to our west along with upslope surface
flow in the higher terrain will keep temperatures about 10 degrees
cooler along with scattered showers. QPF amounts still look
generally light and under a quarter inch.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Tuesday and into the Wednesday the synoptic pattern begins to change
with the meandering low moving to the east. A few showers will still
be possible, but rain chances will decrease further each day into
the week. Flow shifts southerly and temperatures increase into the
70s areawide to round out the week. Lows continue to settle into the
40s before steadily increasing into the 50s by the weekend. Dry and
warm conditions persist into the next weekend with highs reaching
into the 80s. Another upper level trough looks to approach the area,
but there remains some uncertainty on the track of the low among
ensemble guidance. Stay tuned as the forecast will change through
the week.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024

Satellite shows drier air moving into the area with scattered
clouds approaching HOB. This drier air should also improve VIS and
slowly improve CIGs over time though temporary dips could occur.
VFR conditions expected 12-18Z at all sites.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               42  64  42  72 /   0  20   0  30
Carlsbad                 43  65  41  72 /  20  20  10  10
Dryden                   46  64  44  75 /  20  30  10  10
Fort Stockton            45  68  45  76 /  20  30  10  20
Guadalupe Pass           42  60  44  63 /  30  20  10   0
Hobbs                    39  63  38  71 /  10  20  10  20
Marfa                    36  64  37  70 /  40  20  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     43  63  42  73 /  10  20  10  30
Odessa                   45  64  43  73 /  10  20  10  20
Wink                     44  67  42  76 /  20  30  10  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.