Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 131522
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1022 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2014

.UPDATE...

Update to increase PoPs a little in the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains
this afternoon/evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The inverted ua trough has moved well west of the region late this
morning, while an ua ridge centered over Nevada has begun to expand
eastward over the area.  Expecting quite a bit less convection this
afternoon/evening as a result.  However, low level upslope flow
persists into the higher terrain, and think heating of the higher
terrain later this afternoon will yield widely scattered coverage of
thunderstorms. Since instability is low, shear is weak and lapse
rates only moist adiabatic. think only a few strong storms capable
of gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall will be possible.  Will
send an update for this afternoon to increase PoPs a little in the
Davis and Guadalupe Mountains, but even less elsewhere in and
around the higher terrain.  Aside from tweaks to cloud coverage
through this afternoon, the rest of the forecast through this
afternoon and evening appears in order.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 95  67  97  70  /   0   0  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              98  71  97  72  /   0   0  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                97  69  97  70  /  10  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  98  73 101  75  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           95  69  98  72  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          91  67  92  67  /  20  20  10  10
HOBBS NM                   94  64  95  67  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   90  58  91  59  /  20  20  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    96  69  98  71  /   0   0   0  10
ODESSA TX                  95  70  98  72  /   0   0   0  10
WINK TX                    99  69 100  73  /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

80/67




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