Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 231913
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
213 PM CDT Wed Jul 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...As of 2:15 PM CDT Wednesday...Skies are partly
cloudy across the CWA. A strong ridge is centered over southern
Colorado with drier air filtering into the CWA...as dew pts are
lower than yesterday.

The ridge will be the dominant feature in the CWA`s weather for
the remainder of the week...and through the weekend. The ridge
will sag south through the weekend as a series of systems move
across the northern tier of states. This will enable the thermal
ridge to edge further east Friday and Saturday. Temps will be
above normal on Thursday...but it will get even hotter Friday and
Saturday with widespread 100+ temps. Along the Rio Grande River
Valley and the Trans Pecos temps could be 105+. Dew pts will be
lower so overnight lows could drop below 75. However...it is
possible that a heat advisory could be needed for the Rio Grande
River Valley and the Trans Pecos Friday and Saturday.

The ridge will begin to retrograde west Sunday and into early next
week. The thermal ridge will be further west as well...so temps
will not be as hot...but will be near or a few degrees above
normal. The flow will become north or northwest early next
week...with the GFS bringing a front to the CWA early next week
whereas the ECMWF is slower. With the model differences have kept
the forecast dry through the extended.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 98  72  98  72  /   0   0   0  10
BIG SPRING TX             102  75 102  75  /   0   0   0  10
CARLSBAD NM               101  72  99  72  /  10   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                 102  78 103  77  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           97  73  97  73  /  10   0   0  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          89  67  89  68  /  10  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   97  69  96  69  /  10   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   89  62  89  61  /  10  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    99  72  99  74  /   0   0   0  10
ODESSA TX                  98  73  97  75  /   0   0   0  10
WINK TX                   100  74 101  74  /  10   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/33




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