Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 280515
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1215 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 06z aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions and light southeast winds will continue this TAF
period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 437 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...

We`ll do a quick update to include convective activity near
Alpine.  Updates out shortly.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 144 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Central and Western U.S. locked into a summer pattern with ridge in
control of wx.  The upper ridge centered over NM this morning will
wobble around but not shift west until early next week.  As it does
temperatures should decrease a little and rain chances increase.

Persistent S/SE wind will keep low level moisture high which will
help to moderate temperatures.  Current dewpts into the lower 60s.
The normal high for most of the region for late July is the mid 90s.
Expect highs a little above normal in the uppers 90s through the
rest of the week with 100 or more along the Pecos and Rio Grande.
With so little day to day change went with a blend between guidance
and persistence.  The last time MAF recorded 100 degrees or more was
July 3rd. Next week may be a a little cooler with long range
guidance trending downward as the ridge center moves off.

Had a few showers and storms kick off before noon in Eddy county but
as of 18z most precip is west of the CWA.  Model qpf keeps the
precip mainly around the western edge of the region due to the
ridge.  Best chances the rest of the afternoon and evening should be
over the higher elevations from near CNM to MRF.  QPF also shows a
little precip moving down across the NE Permian Basin Saturday night
and/or Sunday as shortwaves come down around east side of ridge.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     73 100  74  96 /   0  10  10  20
Carlsbad                       72  99  71  98 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         75 102  76 100 /   0   0  10  10
Fort Stockton                  73  99  73  98 /   0   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 68  90  68  89 /  10  10  10   0
Hobbs                          70  96  69  94 /   0   0  10  10
Marfa                          60  91  61  91 /  10  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           74  99  74  97 /   0   0  10  10
Odessa                         74  99  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           73 102  73  99 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10


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