Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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658
FXUS64 KMAF 210935
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
335 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Wind wind wind.  As one upper trough moves away from the area
another moves this way.  This next trough is very strong and will
move down along the US/Mex border as it pushes east and reaches the
area by midday.  This will result in a very windy day today.  After
this next trough moves away upper ridge builds in from the west.

Yesterday was windy but today should be even more so.  The 700mb
wind fields show a large area of 50-60 kts moving across the area
today and tonight with guidance pushing the elevated wind speeds out
most of the night.  Eta shows a 991mb surface low spinning up over
the panhandle today with a tight pressure gradient with it.  Have
expanded the High Wind Warning across Reeves and Pecos counties and
have expanded the Wind Advisory east across the whole CWA.  The wind
should be very strong by noon but may drop off around sunset only to
pick up again overnight.  Will extend the warnings/advisories out
through 12z... if winds drop off earlier may need to be killed a few
hours early Sunday.  Should get a break for a few days but Tuesday
looking windy again.

Showers are likely today west with a slight chance east... isolated
storms possible areawide today.  Models develop most qpf west over
the higher elevations but blowing dust may turn out to be a bigger
concern as will be possible near any open field or construction site.
Could end up with muddy rain drops.

Do have widespread cloud cover this morning keeping temperatures
elevated but this should clear overnight.  Highs today should warm
into the 60s over much of the area with 70s on Monday.  Another
front mid week knocks highs down into the 50s for the rest of the
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  40  62  39 /  20   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       57  38  62  37 /  40   0   0   0
Dryden                         70  43  70  42 /  20  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  65  41  63  43 /  40  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 45  27  50  38 /  70  10   0   0
Hobbs                          56  37  60  36 /  30   0   0   0
Marfa                          56  29  57  35 /  60  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           62  40  62  38 /  20   0   0   0
Odessa                         61  40  62  39 /  20   0   0   0
Wink                           60  39  63  38 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Wind Advisory until 5 AM MST Sunday for Central Lea County-
     Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.

     High Wind Warning until 5 AM MST Sunday for Eddy County Plains.

     High Wind Warning until 5 AM MST Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains
     of Eddy County.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Sunday for Andrews-Borden-Crane-
     Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Loving-Martin-Midland-
     Mitchell-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward-
     Winkler.

     High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Sunday for Big Bend
     Area-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Reeves County and Upper Trans
     Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

     High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Sunday for
     Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

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