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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
000
FNUS54 KMAF 150839
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
339 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ TODAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20-FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical to extreme fire weather conditions today as 20ft winds
exceed 20-25kts across most western counties, and wind gusts could
reach higher than 50kts in the mountains. Humidity will fall as low
as 3 percent this afternoon while temperatures sit well above
normal. ERCs are around the 75th percentile and fuels are dry, and
with RFTIs of 7-8, have gone ahead with a Red Flag Warning for this
afternoon and evening. Winds will remain elevated tonight, so
overnight recovery will only be 20-25 percent across the west.
Additional fire products may be needed both Tuesday, Wednesday, and
Thursday as 20ft winds remain elevated and humidity falls to
critical levels each afternoon. Rain and better moisture returns
Friday and beyond with the arrival of a cold front.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-152230-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
239 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 79 (-1) 42 (-12) 78
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-2) 31 (+11) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 23 W 35 W 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 37 W 20 W 19
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 57 57 54
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8760 6770
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 46 W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 402960 216640
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 9 8 4
RFTI Category Historic Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-152230-
Chaves Plains-
239 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 86 (0) 47 (-8) 84
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-1) 31 (+10) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 W 28 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 30 W 16 W 17
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 56 52 54
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10680 9220
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 40 W 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 427200 248940
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 7 4
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-152230-
Eddy Plains-
239 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+2) 46 (-13) 85
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-3) 24 (+3) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 13 W 28 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 31 W 14 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 52 50 35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9570 8020
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 41 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 392370 160400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 9 7 3
RFTI Category Historic Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-152230-
Lea-
239 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+1) 47 (-11) 84
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-3) 27 (-6) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 10 W 25 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 27 W 15 W 17
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 51 50 50
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9710 8060
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 42 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 407820 225680
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 8 4
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-152230-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
339 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 /239 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+5) 43 (-16) 76
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-7) 25 (+5) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 23 W 44 W 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 39 W 31 W 25
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 51 32
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9700 4970
Transport Wnd (kts) W 42 W 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 407400 134190
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 9 8 6
RFTI Category Historic Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-152230-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
339 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 96 (+6) 47 (-15) 86
RH % (24h trend) 4 (-9) 29 (-12) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9 W 23 NW 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 23 NW 18 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 48 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11590 5920
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 37 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 428830 124320
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 9 9 4
RFTI Category Historic Historic Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
TXZ045-050-059>061-067-068-075-274-152230-
Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Andrews, Mentone, Kermit,
Odessa, Monahans, Crane, Fort Stockton, and Pecos
339 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+2) 52 (-9) 87
RH % (24h trend) 4 (-8) 37 (-24) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 W 18 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 21 W 13 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 51 51 42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10130 7270
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 37 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 374810 159940
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 8 3
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ046>048-051>053-062-063-069-070-082-152230-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Midland-Glasscock-
Upton-Reagan-Terrell-
Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Stanton,
Big Spring, Colorado City, Midland, Garden City, McCamey, Rankin,
Big Lake, Dryden, and Sanderson
339 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (0) 52 (-10) 89
RH % (24h trend) 13 (-2) 60 (-22) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11 S 16 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 17 W 11 W 14
LAL 1 3 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 45 49 42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7520 7120
Transport Wnd (kts) S 31 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 233120 170880
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 4 3
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
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