Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
ACUS11 KWNS 300452
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300452
TXZ000-300615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0785
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL/WEST-CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 229...

VALID 300452Z - 300615Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 229
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...BOUTS OF LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN
A POSSIBILITY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH A
SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING MCS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL/WEST-CENTRAL
TX INCLUDING THE I-20 CORRIDOR. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 229
CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z.

DISCUSSION...AN MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD /15-20
KT/ LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY OF TX...WITH THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE MCS GRADUALLY APPROACHING A MINERAL
WELLS-STEPHENVILLE-COLEMAN CORRIDOR AS OF 0445Z/1145 PM CDT. AN
MCS-TRAILING COLD POOL IS READILY EVIDENT IN 04Z SURFACE
ANALYSIS...WITH 15-20 DEG F TEMPERATURE CHANGES AND 3-4 MB/2-HR
PRESSURE RISES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MESO-HIGH. THE INCREASINGLY
EXTENSIVE COLD POOL...ALONG WITH MODESTLY INCREASING STORM-RELATIVE
SOUTHERLY INFLOW AROUND 25 KT AS PER WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM FORT
WORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS/FORT HOOD...SUGGESTS THAT A RELATIVELY
WELL-ORGANIZED FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS IS LIKELY TO BE MAINTAINED
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. SPORADIC LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...BUT LIKELY ON AN
INCREASINGLY MARGINAL BASIS BEYOND 06-07Z AS CINH NOCTURNALLY
INCREASES. NONETHELESS...PARTS OF THE WATCH COULD EVENTUALLY WARRANT
TEMPORAL/SPATIAL EXTENSIONS ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TX IF
INTENSE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST AFTER 06-07Z...POTENTIALLY
TOWARD PARTS OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR.

..GUYER.. 05/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   32250022 32499915 33269853 33269750 32229713 30889801
            31329995 32250022




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.