Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 092055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092054
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-092230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1330
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN WY...NERN CO...SRN NEB PANHANDLE AND FAR
SWRN NEB...AND FAR NWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 092054Z - 092230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...WW MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS
STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD SEWD ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
AREA IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED WITH WW
ISSUANCE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...TIME LAPSES OF MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY...SATELLITE IMAGERY
/GOES-R CLOUD TOP COOLING PRODUCT/ AND LIGHTNING DATA SHOWED TSTMS
CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER FAR SERN WY SSEWD ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
TO THE DENVER METRO AREA.  THE AIR MASS IN VICINITY OF THE STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND E/SEWD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS INTO WRN NEB...FAR ERN
CO AND WRN KS HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON /MLCAPE
1000-2000 J PER KG/.  SOME INCREASE IN SSELY LOW-LEVEL WINDS BENEATH
NWLY FLOW ALOFT /30-40 KT WINDS AT 500 MB/ IS RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 40-45 KT.  THESE FACTORS WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED
STORMS...WITH NWLY FLOW ALOFT ALLOWING STORMS TO MOVE OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE AS THE ACTIVITY ENCOUNTERS THE
STRONGER INSTABILITY.  HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 07/09/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   40360499 41220473 41590403 41420254 40890194 40040171
            39300225 39250300 39770436 40360499




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