Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 100427
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100427
KSZ000-100600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1334
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CNTRL AND WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 100427Z - 100600Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IF STORMS CAN PERSIST.

DISCUSSION...A RASH OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
OVER CNTRL KS WHERE A STRONG SLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS RESULTING IN LIFT
AND MOISTURE ADVECTION NWD BENEATH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT PER
AREA SOUNDINGS. THE AIR MASS UPSTREAM ALSO CONTAINS GREATER
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WITH INSTABILITY EVEN WHEN LIFTING PARCELS
FROM 700 MB.

DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SUSTAINED CELLS CAPABLE OF
LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...ONCE THE INITIAL THETA-E SURGE PASSES
THROUGH...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE UNLIKELY. STILL...A FEW
CELLS COULD REMAIN WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL THREAT
TONIGHT.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/10/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   37379931 38819999 39439928 39429825 39039769 38689744
            37949692 37449701 37149759 37039845 37099902 37379931




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